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The besteh

Posted by Ron Coleman on April 6, 2007

That’s Yiddish for “the best.” Steven Den Beste, I have been told repeatedly, is that. Then there was a lot of deal when he evidently gave up blogging on current events. So imagine my surprise when I saw that he’d posted this piece on the Iranian piracy incident at, of all places, my homies the Chicagoboyz. Must be the invisible hand. (I have encountered Steve before, in the comments at Dean’s World.) Anyway, because I have kind of made a personal commitment to kind of covering this story, here’s Steve’s bottom line:

The release of the British tars, especially if there was neither duress nor bribery involved, makes the Iranian government look reasonable and pliable, and it encourages those in the West who think that negotiations can convince Iran to give up its quest for nuclear weapons. That’s a solid victory for Iran.

I like the sound of what he’s saying… except, of course, for what he’s saying.

UPDATE:  If you want to feel a little better, though, read what Mary Madigan has to say.

Posted in Euroids, Orient, Politics and Poker | 2 Comments »

Veterans on the war

Posted by Ron Coleman on April 6, 2007

I don’t usually link to Dean’s World because from what I can tell, most of my readers there are from there. But if I guessed wrong with one or two of you, then go back and read this. And this.

Being a veteran doesn’t make you right about the war, in either direction. But until the press stops granting the likes of John Murtha and Chuck Hagel “absolute moral authority” on the topic, these posts will be necessary.

Posted in Medialites, Orient, Politics and Poker, Stragety | Leave a Comment »

Another Vietnam

Posted by Ron Coleman on April 5, 2007

There’s a great quote about the war over at Rosemary’s place.

But wait — in case you think there’s maybe, possibly a political issue here? Consider this good, though not great, quote, first, however — from the same post at QOAE:

As far as setting a timeline, as we learned in the Balkans, that’s not a wise decision, because it only empowers those who don’t want us there, and it doesn’t work well to do that.

Which Bushitlerian fascist baby killer said that? Check out the link. Then read what Melvin Laird has to say about “the lessons of Vietnam.” The full article is here (link fixed).

Posted in Orient, Politics and Poker, Stragety | Leave a Comment »

Warming up north

Posted by Ron Coleman on April 4, 2007

Al Gore feels some heat himself:

The former U.S. vice-president’s speech was effectively his Academy Award-winning documentary An Inconvenient Truth with updated statistics, and presented by an angrier, fist-shaking Gore.
His presentation was halted at least twice as opponents to his agenda began to shout out.
They called him a liar and a villain, and screamed, “What about your swimming pools?” in regards to recent allegations that the monthly electricity bill of Gore’s estate rivalled a year’s bill for the average American home.
This led Gore to joke, “I don’t even know if you guys are left- or right-wing”.

That’s a joke? The sad, not funny, part is that this confirms a fundamental truth: To Gore, whether or not their point about his hypocrisy is correct is a function of which side of the political divide they’re on.

As opposed to whether or not they’re right.

Posted in Politics and Poker | 11 Comments »

Iran climbs down

Posted by Ron Coleman on April 4, 2007

We are of course supposed to be impressed by Iran’s climb-down and release of the British hostages. Of course, Iran had nowhere else to go; as I said earlier, they had painted themselves, every bit as much as Tony Blair, into a corner — and they probably had more to lose at this point by prolonging the pain. Still, this is a better outcome at this point for Britain than any I could have imagined. But that doesn’t make it a good outcome. Roger Kimball (via Instapundit) isn’t fooled either:

The Iranians made their point. They brazenly kidnapped those British military personnel, calculating, correctly, that the Brits would do nothing to stop them. They publicly humiliated the sailors and marines, thumbed their noses at the “international community,” and made the point with brutal elegance that they could flout the law with impunity. Then they have the gall to say they have decided to make the British people a gift of their own countrymen.

I am glad the hostages are to be released. Their emancipation is no gift, however, but merely the bitter codicil of this latest instance of Iran’s criminal insolence.

Not only that, but the lovefest that will greet Ahmadinejad for this “gesture” — entirely guaranteed in this topsy-turvy moral world of international relations — will actually buy him (and his friends Syria and Russia) tremendous credibility, utterly undeserved, as someone regarding whom patience and of course a lack of harshness can bear fruit.

In short, he got what he wanted and needed, and is far better off for it than if he had never done it all. A brilliant tactical move, however wicked and illegal.

Posted in Orient, Politics and Poker | 2 Comments »

Illegal aliens and amnesty

Posted by Ron Coleman on April 1, 2007

Mickey Kaus does all the hard work figuring out what rational people are supposed to think on the issue of immigration policy in the coming years.

Now I’m no Lou Dobbs.  Okay, I can’t stand Lou Dobbs.  But he’s right about this:  This administration has utterly failed to deal properly, or, really, at all, with immigration, and there is no bigger disappointment for conservatives, among a number of disappointments.

Posted in Politics and Poker | Leave a Comment »

Reality bites

Posted by Ron Coleman on March 29, 2007

Marc Schulman over at The Moderate Voice is cataloging the phenomenon of idea people who have moved from politically left-wing to center or even right since 9/11.

Posted in Politics and Poker | 2 Comments »

Malignant delusions

Posted by Ron Coleman on March 29, 2007

Instapundit.com:

OVER AT OPINIO JURIS, an interesting online symposium on challenges to public international law.

One challenge, it seems to me, is the prevalence of double standards.

An odd objection indeed. Glenn, that is not a “challenge.” If the standards are not consistent, it is simply not a regime of law, is it? It is a fig leaf for something completely different and, inevitably, something far less benign.

Which is, probably unfortunately, what all “international law” ever was, and in all probability ever will be.

Posted in Lex scripta, Politics and Poker | 10 Comments »

Hagelian logic

Posted by Ron Coleman on March 28, 2007

The Iraq surrender bill is about one thing, and one thing only: Chuck Hagel’s vain — in every sense of the word — attempt to get the Republican nomination for President, and the liberal media (now soured on, or perhaps merely tired of, John McCain) that is promoting him:

Here’s Newsweek (“reluctant rebel”).

Here’s Time (“Would the war have gone better if John Kerry had won in 2004? Well, I don’t think you can go back and undo those kinds of things.”)

Here’s Esquire (“If Hagel were better fitted for metaphor, Zorro would be an awfully good one …” — I couldn’t resist the picture!)

Here’s GQ (note the URL!) (“Sitting in his office on a recent afternoon, Hagel leaned back in his armchair to explain, in a voice reminiscent of sandpaper on rough oak, how he was deceived by the president, and won’t let it happen again.”)

Here’s NPR (“Hagel’s opposition to it makes some Democrats giddy — the way they were in 2000 with McCain”).

Here’s even the Nation (“he has the courage to challenge a President from his own party who so clearly didn’t”).

Senator Hagel has a masterful strategy to win the general election, what with rounding up all this media support. All he has to do now is find the political party that will nominate him. It sure as hell won’t be the GOP.

UPDATE:  Check this out.

Posted in Medialites, Politics and Poker | 14 Comments »

All departments of state are the same, I guess

Posted by Ron Coleman on March 25, 2007

Allah P. writes:

Blair’s talking tough but his foreign ministry people are doing their best to downplay it, going so far as to pretend that the kidnapping is an isolated territorial dispute . . . They nabbed 15 members of the British military one day before a vote on UN sanctions and two days after the AP dropped a bombshell about Mahdi Army involvement with the Revolutionary Guard, and yet the Foreign Office would have us believe that one has nothing to do with the others? Seriously?

Either there’s an exchange program with Foggy Bottom or the spines of the members of England’s “diplomatic corps” are made of the same type of Slinky as ours.

UPDATE: Allah found this, too — evidently these same chaps run the milit’ry as well:

In a dramatic illustration of the different postures adopted by British and US forces working together in Iraq, Lt-Cdr Erik Horner – who has been working alongside the task force to which the 15 captured Britons belonged – said he was “surprised” the British marines and sailors had not been more aggressive. Asked by The Independent whether the men under his command would have fired on the Iranians, he said: “Agreed. Yes. I don’t want to second-guess the British after the fact but our rules of engagement allow a little more latitude. Our boarding team’s training is a little bit more towards self-preservation.”

The executive officer – second-in-command on USS Underwood, the frigate working in the British-controlled task force with HMS Cornwall – said: ” The unique US Navy rules of engagement say we not only have a right to self-defence but also an obligation to self-defence. They [the British] had every right in my mind and every justification to defend themselves rather than allow themselves to be taken. Our reaction was, ‘Why didn’t your guys defend themselves?'”

His comments came as it was reported British intelligence had been warned by the CIA that Iran would seek revenge for the detention of five suspected Iranian intelligence officers in Iraq two months ago but refused to raise threat levels in line with their US counterparts. The capture of the eight sailors and seven marines – including one young mother – will undoubtedly renew accusations that Britain’s determination to maintain a friendly face in the region has left its troops frequently under protected.

Vastly outnumbered and out-gunned, the Royal Navy team from HMS Cornwall were seized on Friday after completing a UN-authorised inspection of a merchant dhow in what they insist were clearly Iraqi waters. The Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps Navy appeared in half a dozen attack speedboats mounted with machine guns..

Yesterday, the former First Sea Lord, Admiral Sir Alan West, said British rules of engagement were “very much de-escalatory, because we don’t want wars starting … Rather than roaring into action and sinking everything in sight we try to step back and that, of course, is why our chaps were, in effect, able to be captured and taken away.”

Three days after the team were taken hostage, Tony Blair publicly spoke about the diplomatic crisis for the first time. “I hope the Iranian government understands how fundamental an issue this is for us,” he said.

Quite. Look, it is not unreasonable to take a hit from time to time in order to preserve peace and to be in command of how and when you use force. Ronald Reagan did this with the Russkies in the day, and many of us screamed; yet he won the big show.

On the other hand, this is a theater of war. It is a fundamental mistake to introduce troops into a “shoot to wound” situation. Did Iran choose to pick up the Brits knowing they were under orders to play no more than patty-cake? Remember — these limeys were “vastly outnumbered and out-gunned.” Perhaps Teheran merely took a tactical opportunity presented to it. (UPDATE:) Or planned it very carefully.

Either way, bloody bad show.

Posted in Orient, Politics and Poker, Stragety | 4 Comments »