Likelihood of Success

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Archive for the ‘Nuvo-Techno’ Category

Floating toxic plastic garbage island twice the size of Texas?

Posted by Ron Coleman on October 22, 2007

Never even understood what a horrifying prospect that was until I was in college, when I met my first Texan.

Is there someone out there debunking this?  It sounds pretty bunky.  Please.

Posted in Futurama, Nuvo-Techno | 2 Comments »

Petty taxes

Posted by Ron Coleman on October 17, 2007

Marty Schwimmer prints an excerpt from this story, about a guy who wants to buy a domain name to start up a new business, but can’t afford the $1000 for the name he wants and which is being warehoused by a domain seller. The would-be buyer doesn’t even counter-offer — why not? He probably could have gotten the domain for under $500 if the starting price was $1000.

The domain seller feels guilty. Writes Marty, “This is an illustration of how the domain name system sometimes function as a tax on small business.”

I guess. A little tax is still a tax. It doesn’t seem “fair” — but in fact, the person who registered that name first got the real estate precisely because he recognized the domain name’s future value. I can’t fathom a small business that doesn’t have $1000 for the “right” domain name that has any chance of succeeding, considering that most small businesses fail precisely as a result of a lack of capital.

Posted in Nuvo-Techno, O Mores! | Leave a Comment »

I report, you decide

Posted by Ron Coleman on October 14, 2007

Posted in Nuvo-Techno, Oppression, Politics and Poker | 12 Comments »

I just wanted to buy a book

Posted by Ron Coleman on October 11, 2007

Social networking is one thing, but have you noticed how unwieldy Amazon.com is these days?

It’s looking more and more like MySpace.  I just wanted to buy a book.

Think I’ll walk across the street to Barnes & Noble to clear my head….

Posted in Nuvo-Techno, Stragety | 3 Comments »

I know you think you know what I think you know…

Posted by Ron Coleman on October 9, 2007

Instapundit.com:

ANOTHER INTELLIGENCE BLUNDER? “Al Qaeda’s Internet communications system has suddenly gone dark to American intelligence after the leak of Osama bin Laden’s September 11 speech inadvertently disclosed the fact that we had penetrated the enemy’s system.” Let’s hope things aren’t as bad as this report makes them sound. This constant leaking is a real problem.

Maybe. But let me just axe: Why wouldn’t an occasional story like this, itself, function as really good disinformation? Just saying, as we say.

Posted in Nuvo-Techno, Stragety | Leave a Comment »

Ballmer bombs on social networking

Posted by Ron Coleman on October 2, 2007

Robert Scoble on how Microsoft still just does not get it:

Remember how dozens of competitors tried to get into the eBay space? (and still are?)Why aren’t they succeeding? Because eBay is NOT about the technology. It’s about the community and unless you have something that’ll convince the buyers and sellers all to switch all at one moment you’ll never be able to take eBay’s market away. Translation: it’s too late and eBay has huge defensibility around its business because people won’t move away from it even if you demonstrate 5x better technology.

Same with Facebook. I’m not moving away from it. Why? I have 5,000 reasons why (and another 500 already who want to be included in my Facebook network). Unless you can convince them all to move I’m not moving. This is why LinkedIn isn’t going to disappear anytime soon, even though I like Facebook’s approach a lot better….

Mr Ballmer also noted that sites such as Geocities, an online community that was bought for $3 billion by Yahoo! in 1999, at the height of the dot-com boom, “had most of what Facebook has.”

Oh, boy. No way, no how.

First of all, I never joined Geocities. It never had utility for me. It was a place to build free Web sites. I found it had all the disadvantages to me that MySpace has and NONE of the advantages of Facebook. It was NOT a social network that exerted the kind of social pressure on me to join the way that Facebook did. I tried to ignore Facebook for years. Same with MySpace. But people I kept meeting kept begging me to join. Kevin Rose, when we had dinner, told me I was blowing it by not being on Facebook. That NEVER happened with Geocities.

Bingo, and ditto on LinkedIn, too. This article is good; read all of it!

Posted in Futurama, Nuvo-Techno | Leave a Comment »

What “life” can do

Posted by Ron Coleman on October 2, 2007

Assembla Blog discusses ” 4 Things Life Can Do that Engineers Can’t.”

1) Make something big by starting with something small and expanding each part
…
2) Grow all of the differentiated parts of an organism, starting from a single cell, using only local cell-to-cell signaling.

3) Make 100,000 proteins from 30,000 genes …

4) Make a brain with 100 billion neurons using 10,000 or so genes

An odd choice of things, isn’t it? I get a kick, though, out of the choice of words — what “life” (also called “the universe”) can do. Yeah, thank life.

Posted in Faith and Works, Nuvo-Techno | Leave a Comment »

Social networking, just right

Posted by Ron Coleman on September 23, 2007

I was marking up this article in The Atlantic right on the Lexington Avenue bus, in front of everyone, that’s how well author Michael Hirschorn echoes my sentiments about Facebook. You don’t understand social networking? You will if you read this article. Hirschorn particularly hits the nail on the head in his descriptions, by contradistinction, of the anarchistic MySpace and the stiff LinkedIn. Excerpts:

The catchall term social media encompasses Web applications that allow individuals to create their own pages—filled with postings, photos, video, and portable applications generally called “widgets”—and interact with other users. The theory is that these networks will create a virtual environment in which like-minded people can find one another. In practice, as with Goldi­locks and the porridge, the gruel tends to be too hot or too cold. On MySpace, the flood of pseudo-buddies and marketing come-ons disguised as offers of friendship quickly becomes suffocating. Too hot. On a business – networking site like LinkedIn, the very nature of the concept becomes self-defeating: The subset of people you want to schmooze with and who want to schmooze with you is simply too small, and too difficult to separate from the much larger group of people you are trying to avoid or who are trying to avoid you. Too cold.

Facebook is getting the temperature just right, and in the process has been able to give social media real social capital. . . .

Openness and messiness are indeed the characteristics that make the Web so different from other forms of media, if indeed the Web can be called “media” at all. But it has always been the push-me/pull-you between order and disorder that has made the Internet more than merely a vast agglomeration of stuff. . . .

Facebook [] is imposing the right limits—it’s almost New Victorian in that regard. It is a connection engine that successfully mirrors how most of us want to live our lives. (Most people live in suburbs for a reason.) If the overall trend on the Internet is the individual user’s loss of control as corporations make money off information you unwittingly provide, Facebook is offering a way to get some of that control back.

Having said all that, I don’t spend all that much time on Facebook. The average age of members still seems to be in the “young enough to be my child” category, though everyone agrees it’s heading up fast. As Hirschorn points out, what makes the website so promising is that you can build your own networks within the overall network along any number of axes you choose, and make them open, closed, secret or, if you’re tech-savvy enough, in between. It’s good stuff — even if you don’t waste all your time on it.

Posted in Blogophilia, Futurama, Nuvo-Techno | 2 Comments »

PayPal’s down

Posted by Ron Coleman on September 2, 2007

According to this story, people can’t accept payments, which is one-half of the point.  It’s been a couple of days.  And no one at eBay (PayPal’s owner) seems to care.

That’s what we call a disequilibrium.

Posted in Nuvo-Techno | 2 Comments »

The monstrous side of social networking

Posted by Ron Coleman on August 29, 2007

Monster.com is in a world of trouble, as are millions of the employment website’s users.  The site was hacked big time and the bad guys are already working their scams with the data they’ve mined.  It’s a catastrophe for Web 2.0, in theory, but for Monster in practice.

The good news?  Contingency fees all around!  Write me when the first class action is filed.

Posted in Nuvo-Techno | 1 Comment »