Likelihood of Success

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Archive for the ‘Orient’ Category

Muslims stop reading the papers

Posted by Ron Coleman on July 24, 2007

No Israeli believes Muslims are stupid. But the myth of an endless appetite for reckless suicide bombing, regardless of its tactical inefficacy, lives on in the West. Are Muslims getting tired of the self-inflicted bloodshed, though?

It hardly seems conceivable. The left promised us that anything short of asking, “Please sir, may I have another?” after 9/11 would result in non-stop terrorist attacks in the U.S., and was wrong. The same people has guaranteed us that the “desperate” and “motivated” Muslim “insurgent” would never tire of blowing himself up until the Great Satan quit the field in the Mideast. We were told that this trend would only continue the more intensively we brought the battle to the bad guys. The harder we pressed these diamonds of humanity, we were told, the harder they got, and the brighter shone their hero, Osama bin-Laden.

So what are we to make of this?:

Muslims around the world increasingly reject suicide bombings and other violence against civilians in defense of Islam, according to a new international poll dealing with how the world’s population judges their lives, countries and national institutions.A wide ranging survey of international attitudes in 47 countries by the Pew Research Center also reported that in many of the countries where support for suicide attacks has declined, there has also has been decreasing support for al-Qaida leader Osama bin-Laden.

This is great news, right? Fewer suicide bombings (except the really good kind) is good for everyone. Of course, Bin-Laden’s lack of popularity may be connected to the fact that he’s completely dead. Even in Iraq, the bombing is growing old, as this post linked to by Instapundit today makes clear:

U.S. tactics and training have made enemy efforts much less lethal. This has helped demoralize an increasing number of terrorists. Many are tired of killing Iraqi civilians, and the increasing difficulty at getting at American troops. … This has been going on for years, and an increasing number of Iraqi fighters are demoralized and quitting. Many either become informers, or surrender and speak freely.

Muslims are not stupid. They invented numbers, after all. Suicide bombings are simply a diminishing-returns proposition. Why didn’t someone tell those who were so gloriously blowing up buses and pizza shops five years ago that diminishing returns, high concrete walls and the suboptimal tactic of intending to die might not make them the vanguard of social change the papers said they would be? And will they do so now?

Of course not. It flies in the face of the antiwar mantra. The Iraq and Afghanistan wars, much less the West Bank wall and the present troop surge in Iraq, were supposed to only enrage, forever, the people of the rage, who the media told us was infinitely capable of self-destructive behavior. Indeed, celebration of this bloodlust by the media was a factor in all this senseless murder. I wonder if its perpetrators, and the culture that bought into this myth, will ask Reuters, the BBC, the Associated Press the New York Times and the rest for their money, and their wasted blood, back.

It’s not over, of course. Suicide murder has not stopped. It is still not a good situation if only one percent of a billion people are prepared to blow themselves up as long as they take a piece of you, too; and we’re still way above one percent.

But this trend certainly seems contrary to what we were promised by the policy experts, the mainstream press, and the political left. Now what? Well, they can count on the Democrats in the Congress, for whom our enemies (whether it is the USSR or Al Qaeda) are always winning and it is always hopeless for democracy to fight back. That works fine when “winning” (other than winning political power) is not your goal anyway.

UPDATE: More analysis from Hot Air.

Posted in Orient, Stragety | 9 Comments »

The girly-men of Islamism

Posted by Ron Coleman on July 24, 2007

Abdullah Mehsud, Guantanamo Bay Class of ’04, takes the chicken’s way out.

Another real man.

Posted in Orient | 3 Comments »

Eve of Destruction

Posted by Ron Coleman on July 23, 2007

destruction-full.jpg

Jewish tradition teaches that on Tisha B’Av (the Ninth day of the month of Av) , five national calamities occurred:

  1. During the time of Moses, Jews in the desert accepted the slanderous report of the ten spies, and the decree was issued by God forbidding them from entering the Land of Israel. (1312 BCE — traditional Jewish dating)
  2. The First Temple was destroyed by the Babylonians, led by Nebuchadnezzar. 100,000 Jews were slaughtered and millions more exiled. (586 BCE)
  3. The Second Temple was destroyed by the Romans, led by Titus. Traditional sourcest teach that two million Jews died, and another one million were exiled. (70 CE)
  4. The Bar Kochba revolt was crushed by Roman Emperor Hadrian. The city of Betar — the Jews’ last stand against the Romans — was captured and liquidated. Over 100,000 Jews were slaughtered. (135 CE)
  5. The Temple area and its surroundings were plowed under by the Roman general Terentius Rufus. Jerusalem was rebuilt as a pagan city — renamed Aelia Capitolina — and access was forbidden to Jews.

Other grave misfortunes throughout Jewish history occurred on the Ninth of Av, including:

  1. The Spanish Inquisition culminated with the expulsion of Jews from Spain on Tisha B’Av in 1492.
  2. World War One broke out on the eve of Tisha B’Av in 1914 when Germany declared war on Russia. German resentment from the war set the stage for the Holocaust.
  3. On the eve of Tisha B’Av 1942, the mass deportation began of Jews from the Warsaw Ghetto, en route to Treblinka.

More on the Ninth of Av, which begins tonight. Observant Jews will fast (a complete fast — no food, no water) until nightful Tuesday night. For us, this is the “hardest” day of the year.

Posted in Faith and Works, Orient, Past is prologue | Leave a Comment »

Monkeyfishing in Iraq?

Posted by Ron Coleman on July 23, 2007

Cool MonkeyIt’s looking that way, isn’t it? (Link here for the “inside” reference.)

When they stoop to this, how much better than what we even thought must the real truth be?

UPDATE: They’re circling the wagons.

UPPERDATE: The monkeyfisherman emerges.

Posted in Medialites, Orient | Leave a Comment »

It depends on what “is” is

Posted by Ron Coleman on July 20, 2007

Says disbarred retiree Bill Clinton, the new face of failure:

“The point is that there is no military victory here,” he said exclusively to “Good Morning America.” “I believe that Gen. Petraeus is a very able man. And I don’t have any doubt that they’ll win some battles. And I hope this works. I think every American hopes this works. But it can’t work beyond winning a few battles. … It has to be accompanied by progress on the political front.”

There is no way you can’t read that odd choice of the present tense in that first sentence and be reminded of the great man’s most famous sentence — “there is no improper relationship“…

That Bill Clinton. Man from Hope. Always playing games with us. And with the truth.

Posted in Orient, Stragety | 7 Comments »

Don’t confuse us with the facts

Posted by Ron Coleman on July 8, 2007

The rightosphere is focusing fire, appropriately, on the Times‘s “unconditional surrender, and quick” editorial. Via Glenn, here’s a nice selection by Lorie Bird entitled, “Choose Genocide“:

I just don’t understand why those on the left are so afraid to talk about the progress that is being made. If they think it is just a waste of time and effort and lives, then they can say that, but at least acknowledge that the men and women of our military are experiencing some success. Then if they want to argue that genocide is preferable to victory in Iraq, I will at least believe they are being honest.

Actually, I think Lorie is playing with us a little and understands very well why the capitulation party does not make balanced arguments, but she, too, is making a rhetorical point, and a valid one. As I said in the comments at Dean’s World scant hours ago, there is no other way to describe this policy other than the all but formal handover of Iraq and its people — including its Sunni population — to Iran, the Islamoreich in all its glory (click the pic at right for a taste). But, as I also commented here a short time ago — and yes, this story is hot on a slow (and hot) news day — the endorsement of the New Irrationalism on Iraq by the Grey Lady is emboldening that policy’s greatest proponent, the Hon. Mrs. Cindy Sheehan, for a Comeback Tour.

Could this not be the silver lining on the whole thing — a bustup of the Wacky Left / Washington Left coalition and a genuine threat to the coronation of Senator Clinton? Is that what the New York Times is shooting for? I would never have thought of it, but … New Irrationalism, indeed!

Posted in Medialites, Orient, Politics and Poker | 2 Comments »

Girly-men of Islam

Posted by Ron Coleman on July 4, 2007

Pakistani cleric captured under burqa. No, it’s not like that. He was alone.

Well, he wasn’t alone in the sense of being original.  More, here.

Posted in Orient | 2 Comments »

Rage boys redux

Posted by Ron Coleman on June 25, 2007

“Let’s stop channeling angry Muslims,” says Christopher Hitchens.

I already wrote that article, of course, but, hey, I’m not Hitch. That’s okay. I don’t want to be Hitch. Plus, maybe his article’s better. Who am I to say?

“Money quote,” anyway:

The acceptance of an honor by a distinguished ex-Muslim writer, who exercised his freedom to abandon his faith and thus courts a death sentence for apostasy in any case, came shortly after the remaining minarets of the Askariya shrine in Samarra were brought down in shards. You will recall that the dome itself was devastated by an explosion more than a year ago—an outrage described in one leading newspaper as the work of “Sunni insurgents,” the soft name for al-Qaida. But what does “Rage Boy” have to say about this appalling desecration of a Muslim holy place? What resolutions were introduced into the “parliament” of Pakistan, denouncing such shameful profanity? You already know the answer to those questions. The lives of Shiite Muslims, Jews, Hindus, and Christians—to say nothing of atheists or secularists—are considered by Sunni militants to be of little or no account. And yet they accuse those who criticize them of bigotry! And many people are so anxious to pre-empt this accusation that they ventriloquize the reactions of Sunni mobs as if they were the vox populi, all the while muttering that we must take care not to offend such supersensitive people. . . .

Rage Boy keenly looks forward to anger, while we worriedly anticipate trouble, and fret about etiquette, and prepare the next retreat. If taken to its logical conclusion, this would mean living at the pleasure of Rage Boy, and that I am not prepared to do.

Posted in Oppression, Orient | 4 Comments »

Hands in the viscera jar

Posted by Ron Coleman on June 6, 2007

Jihad Watch reports that the Boys from Tehran have been caught red-handed –– and, I take it, provably so — to be supplying the arms and bomb stuff that kills American soldiers in Iraq, and Iraqis.

The George Bush of even four years ago would take action, and maybe even firm action.  The George Bush of five years ago, and even Colin “James Baker” Powell, might even take double-plus firm action.

The weakened, politically ineffectual George Bush that I think inhabits the White House now — what is he going to do about it?   I can’t imagine.

Posted in Orient, Politics and Poker | 2 Comments »

Which ox does the goring

Posted by Ron Coleman on June 3, 2007

Instapundit links to the answer to the question, “What if Israelis had abducted BBC man?”

Throughout Mr Johnston’s captivity, the BBC has continually emphasised that he gave “a voice” to the Palestinian people, the implication being that he supported their cause, and should therefore be let out. One cannot imagine the equivalent being said if he had been held by Israelis.

Well, he is certainly giving a voice to the Palestinian people now. And the truth is that, although it is under horrible duress, what he says is not all that different from what the BBC says every day through the mouths of reporters who are not kidnapped and threatened, but are merely collecting their wages.

Ouch. But they don’t learn, as Charles Moore, the article’s author, makes it clear. Moral “equivalence”? We’re past that, and on the other side looking in. No one deserves it better than the BBC, but regrettably, it is not they, nor theirs, that pay the full price for what can be, at best, described as moral obtuseness — and which others describe as merely an aspect of long-held British contempt for the Jews.

Posted in Medialites, Orient | Leave a Comment »