Likelihood of Success

Ron Coleman’s pretty good blog

Imus death spiral

Posted by Ron Coleman on April 12, 2007

Just now on Opie and Anthony — don’t even ask me how I got them on the dial (never have before and based on how entertaining they weren’t, don’t expect I ever will again) — but they did have this to say:

We’re next… And forget about any apology — see what good that does you.

UPDATE: Now I get it. They were participating in Imus’s radiothon, held at the MSNBC studios due to previous arrangements — the same MSNBC that just cast its simulcast of Imus out of its programming. For two minutes on the car on the way to shul this morning I heard him expressing, plainly and frankly, both his continued regret and acceptance of personal responsibility — “If I hadn’t said that stuff, we wouldn’t be here” — and his disgust with MSNBC over his treatment from them.

It is disgusting. I don’t love it any more. I hate it.

Yesterday morning Steven A. Smith, ESPN’s one-note radio host on New York’s WFAN sports radio (oddly, no useful link available directly to ESPN) was railing — which is how he expresses everything — about how if Imus had made these remarks about Jews it wouldn’t even be a question whether he would be fired. This is preposterous, and disproved by the facts — repeatedly. But good to drag the Jews into this — you’re not alone, Steven.

Here’s my prediction: Imus will, contrary to my earlier prognostication (which, if you don’t mind my saying, was one of the early blog reactions to this story), go, his interesting and successful and lucrative (none of which is to say “highly meritorious”) career extinguished at a ripe old age because a true high-tech lynching is under way which cannot be stopped. I earlier expressed my lack of regret over this, because I believe that Imus played the PC game when it worked for him; those are the breaks. He’s done well.

But the “rest” of my prediction is that this is a high-water mark of this nonsense. I believe there will be a sea change following this — I don’t know how it will play out, but I believe that, as Dean Esmay says, the utter silliness and pettiness of this process will make an impact and somehow get people to regain perspective on the total babyishness of this entire concept. They will talk about the “Imus incident” as a watershed. It couldn’t happen to a nicer guy and sweeter bunch of arrogant sidekicks, true — do you just love the idea of an unemployed Bernie McGuirk? And better him than me. But it should not happen — not this — again.

Posted in Americana, Medialites | 6 Comments »

A lot of Internet buzz is stupid

Posted by Ron Coleman on April 11, 2007

Like look what Wired considers noteworthy, in its attempt to predict the next social networking hotspot:

Wired News: So, can you give me your elevator pitch? What is Socializr? Jonathan Abrams: It’s a site for sharing events with your friends.

WN: There are already sites that do that, like Evite, so what’s the differentiator [sic]?

Abrams: We don’t really think Evite does that, because Evite doesn’t allow you to see what your friends are doing. The central concept of Socializr is the idea of combining social networking and event functionality together.

Step one is providing a really cool alternative to Evite, which hasn’t improved in five years. There’s just so much stuff — integrating music and video and SMS and IM — there’s just so much stuff that Evite doesn’t do. And that’s certainly part of why Socializr is valuable.

The big vision goes beyond that. The big vision is integrating that with social networking, and creating something where you could share stuff with your friends, which is an area that Evite’s never even got into.

WN: It sounds like you’re saying Evite is more of a broadcast model.

Abrams: Well, Evite doesn’t allow you to say, this person is my friend. There’s no concept of friends on Evite. And there’s no concept of sharing.

This is something you really need. Better real-time awareness of what parties your friends are going to and which they have, obviously by mistake, omitted to invite you to. And … sharing.

Oh, they will all make a mint, I’m sure. Like they did last time. Then they can share more “events.”

Posted in Americana, Nuvo-Techno | 2 Comments »

Mickey on my mind

Posted by Ron Coleman on April 11, 2007

I read Kausfiles (Mickey Kaus) every day. You should, at least every other day. It’s usually not so time sensitive so you don’t have to do it every day. He’s pretty much the best on the media front and I like his political analysis, too.

What else?

scripto-pen.jpgI read Instapundit several times a day. It’s my starting point. Of course I’m all over Dean’s World, where I’m a contributor again. I read all the blogs on my blogroll, of course, but not as regularly as these three. (Kaus isn’t on my blogroll because he’s never linked here. You know — blogroll, logroll?)

Of course I was weaned on Andrew Sullivan but he rounded the bend about five years ago and isn’t coming back.

I also read Above the Law every day, and I check out Overlawyered to see if David Nieporent is still alive (he is). I also check out and sometimes write for a special-interest Jewish blog called Beyond BT — it’s so full of jargon and inside baseball, though, that I don’t blogroll it here.

On IP, which I also blog about (of course), I think the best thing going for thoroughness and style, though her focus is narrow, is Counterfeit Chic. When I’m desperate for a story to steal (and “enhance”) I go straight to Seattle Trademark Lawyer and Internet Cases, and I’m seldom disappointed. I would do the same with the Technology and Marketing Law Blog but Eric Goldman is so good — and our views on the law are so simpatico — that I would just end up lifting his whole blog wholesale, so I have to discipline myself.

No one asked me, but those are my regular haunts.

Posted in Blogophilia | 2 Comments »

Great work, webmaster, nice design!

Posted by Ron Coleman on April 11, 2007

Welcome to blogs.  Super site.  Good site!!!  If you have to do it, you might as well do it right.  Perfect site, I like it!

What beautiful text and visitors!

Company insurance car top 50 best sites.  Beautiful site!  Your website is appealing. Be encouraged to do the work of the Lord.  Excellent forum with fantastic references and reading… well done indeed…   The Good lad an author! I much like site! This simply prodigy!

The Regard! The Excellent forum! Thank you!

Yeah, I like this idea.

There was merrily!

Posted in Blogophilia | 5 Comments »

Blogger code of conduct

Posted by Ron Coleman on April 11, 2007

Should there be a “blogger code of conduct”? Instapundit acknowledges the discussion, as well as the virtually certain vanity of it all. He suggests he’s ahead of the curve, and perhaps he is; but I was already waiting for him there with a length of pipe.

On the other hand, we are working on such a thing at the Media Bloggers Association, and adherence to it would be a condition of membership and access to benefits. We’ll get back to you when we solid up the benefits part, though.

Posted in Blogophilia, Medialites | 1 Comment »

More on strategic defense

Posted by Ron Coleman on April 11, 2007

The Guardian reports:

Analysts said there was a common feeling in Russia that the US had reneged on an agreement after the collapse of the Soviet Union to abandon cold war politics. “Cold war thinking has prevailed, especially on the western side,” Yevgeny Myasnikov, a senior research scientist at Moscow’s Centre for Arms Control, told the Guardian. “Russia has been deeply disappointed by what has happened after 1991. Nato started to expand, and the US started to think it had won the cold war. We had hoped for a partnership. But it didn’t happen.”

Imagine, the US thinking it had won the Cold War, just because the other side ceased to exist.  And then refusing a partnership with the remnants of the side that lost — you know, the side that votes against every US proposal at the UN and that is rebuilding its own military dictatorship while murdering opponents on the streets all around the world.

Deeply disappointing!

Posted in Politics and Poker, Stragety | 2 Comments »

Happy Passover

Posted by Ron Coleman on April 9, 2007

Most non-observant Jews, and very few non-Jews, know that starting tonight and for the next through days we have the bookend-like “final days” or “second days” of Passover. (This is not to be confused with the Second Passover.)

Like the first two days of Passover, these are festival days and, as on the Sabbath, we mostly do not do “work” on these days, including blogging. There are not two more seders, however!

Posted in Faith and Works | Leave a Comment »

Apes, pigs and antisemitism

Posted by Ron Coleman on April 8, 2007

belief.jpgWell, am I an ape or am I a pig?! That is a huge divide. There’s no middle ground or manageable combination that I’m aware of. Someone please read this article and then explain it to my wife, Koko, who will tell me the answer via sign language.

Oh, and I will unearth and throw a bone to Robert Spencer on this, of course.

UPDATE: Happy Passover from Koko and me. I’ll be offline until Tuesday night because of the holiday and, because of post-Passover cleanup and turnover, probably Wednesday. Don’t go make a whole bunch of news while I’m gone.

Posted in Faith and Works, Orient | 2 Comments »

“Religious supremacism”

Posted by Ron Coleman on April 8, 2007

A good morning for this discussion! (Well, it’s the eve of the end of Passover festival, is what I mean of course!)

Ali Eterez asks, in the comments at Dean’s World:

Is it Religious Supremacism when a member of one religion says that his religion is true to the exclusion of other religions?

My answer is yes.

Then every religion — absolutely including Islam, I mean, please! — is guilty of this, or it isn’t really a religion at all — just a discussion group or a social club such as Reform “Judaism.”

That doesn’t inform how adherents should treat members of other religions or those who profess no religion. But if you don’t believe your professed creed is true, you’re being a hypocrite. And if yours is true, unless it has no tenets at all (in which case, see above), its tenets must in whole or part contradict other belief systems.

That means that if you are a member of an organized (even conceptually) religion, you are by the suggested definition a “religious supremacist.”  (UPDATE:  Maybe the nomenclature is in fact a problem here!)

This is where religion is not liberal, “classically” or otherwise. As Kevin D. says, “You make that sound like a bad thing.” Quite to the contrary.

Posted in Faith and Works | 25 Comments »

That thing doesn’t work — I’ll take two, please

Posted by Ron Coleman on April 8, 2007

Imperial Russia, which has already chuckled gleefully at the folly of silly Americanski missile defense, is so convinced that “star wars” can’t work that it’s threatening to hold its breath until the U.S. shares it with them. A Russian “lawmaker” (an odd phrase for a country whose democratic institutions are mostly for show) says it all in this one quote:

Kosachev argued building an antimissile shield without Russia wouldn’t be effective and [would be] counterproductive as Moscow would view it as a threat.

So ineffective that it’s a threat. Well, threats — that’s something these mafiosi know, as they attempt the time-honored technique of The Wedge:

“Our colleagues in Europe should understand this basic principle: Any attempt to build a security system without Russia (still less against it) by definition cannot be comprehensive or effective,” he wrote.

“Instead of security for Europe’s people we will have a new division and new targets on our densely populated Continent,” Kosachev noted, echoing warnings by other Russian officials that Moscow would be forced to target the anti-missile shield.

That will probably go down in well in quite a few European capitals — but not probably any of the ones that were the personal property of the Fraternal Comrades until a very short time ago. And it is those former “Eastern Bloc” (there’s another great euphemism for you) countries, setting up harebrained Ronald Reagan cowboy weapons, that has Moscow concerned.

God help us, sometimes we actually do something right.

Posted in Euroids, Stragety | 2 Comments »