Likelihood of Success

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Archive for the ‘Blogophilia’ Category

Watching the watchers

Posted by Ron Coleman on March 20, 2007

You knew about Olbermann Watch. But did you know about Watching Olbermann Watch? It’s a website by those obsessively compelled to monitor a website that’s obsessively compelled to monitor a guy who’s making a nice living, thank you.

And we know for sure that Keith Olbermann only writes — how many of these websites?

Posted in Blogophilia, Medialites | 4 Comments »

Plugging the plank

Posted by Ron Coleman on March 20, 2007

This memo just washed up on shore:

Avast, friend… whether ye be land-lubber or member of the Brethren…!

If you read the newspaper–or even just glance at the headlines–you are no doubt aware of the critical worldwide shortage of pirates. (If you do just glance at headlines, you might consider canceling your paper subscription and spending your money on something else.)

Pirates perform a number of vital socio-economic services for the population at large, of course: Their constant burying and digging up of treasure ensures the free circulation of doubloons and other valuables; their making each other walk the plank guarantees that sharks in all seven seas are well fed; and without pirates the rum industry could not survive.

Unfortunately, ranks of pirates are at their thinnest these days, and no one seems to know exactly why. Is it global warming, which has disrupted the natural habitat of the feared Ice Pirates of Antarctica… or an excess of wily but virtuous blacksmiths who, having studied swordsmanship in secret, are now hell-bent on wreaking vengeance on the pirates who destroyed their homes? Or is it simply too many ninjas?

Whatever the cause of this crisis, my friends, I am a man of action, and I would prefer to focus on the solution. And the solution is simple: We need more pirates.

Jean LaFoote the barefoot pirate

Studies show that 9 out of 10 potential buccaneers are held back only by the lack of a really good entry-level guide for new pirates. (The tenth is held back by his love of the Governor’s virtuous daughter.) While we can’t do anything for that unfortunate tenth, the other nine are in luck.Sometime in the next few weeks, THE GOVERNMENT MANUAL FOR NEW PIRATES will arrive in a bookshop (or on a bookship) near you.

THE GOVERNMENT MANUAL FOR NEW PIRATES is a handy (or, hooky, as the case may be) and practical reference manual that will aid you in selecting a ship, training your parrot, and — perhaps most importantly — cursing with sufficient panache. It also features a handy pirate/Yiddish dictionary.

If you have been thrown in the brig (or are otherwise unable to make it to your local bookstore), you may purchase the book by clicking here.

THE GOVERNMENT MANUAL FOR NEW PIRATES: Because that treasure isn’t going to bury itself.

Arrrrr,

Matthew David Brozik
(a/k/a “Cap’n Hook-leg”)
Co-author of The Government Manual for New Pirates

Posted in Ars Longa, Blogophilia | Leave a Comment »

Gunning for Jersey

Posted by Ron Coleman on March 20, 2007

A gun-rights-victory-in-NJ story — naturally Glenn, who I assume packs heat to class and probably the outhouse, links and cleverly (and accurately) refers to it as a “civil rights victory.”

Also a victory for the classily-named anonymous blog he linked to, if you consider the execution of gratuitous sarcasm about an entire state a win. Bring it on, girls. We know where you don’t live.

East Pyne Hall, Princeton University

Posted in Blogophilia | 2 Comments »

Big Fred

Posted by Ron Coleman on March 20, 2007

Mickey Kaus asks the question I’ve been asking:

Wherein lies the greatness of Sen. Fred Thompson? Just asking!

Me too. He’s being pumped like crazy by, for what it’s worth, some of my favorite bloggers. (Others are being characteristically skeptical — via IMAO!) But is this another case of mistaking the TV character for the person? Mickey continues:

All I remember is he was given custody of an important set of hearings–into China and campaign finance — and screwed them up. … He sounds good–in his John Fund interview he says lots of sensible things (especially about civil service protections). But ideally a presidential candidate has accomplished something–even if it’s only governing a state without steering it conspicuously into disaster. Obama hasn’t accomplished much [link added by me — RDC], but he’s only been in the Senate for two years. Thompson didn’t accomplish much in two years plus a full six-year term, no?. … I’d love to be wrong on this. Please tell me why. …

Big Fred

I can’t. But I can explain the interest: Conservatives are in the dumps because there isn’t a Reagan, or even the version of George W. Bush they thought they were buying, in this race. But what exactly it is that they see in Thompson is not clear unless, as I said, they are actually voting for a rich baritone voice, six-and-a-half-feet of USDA Grade A beef, and — here’s the kicker — his role as a fair but firm, if a little politicized, urban crime-fighter. And there are two problems with that. Kaus identified one:

P.S.: He’s a bad actor! I never believe he’s the character he’s playing (even when the character is essentially Fred Thompson). … 1:53 P.M

That’s not Fred’s fault. It’s the producers’ fault, for the absurd casting of a giant Tennessean in the role of Manhattan District Attorney. It’s like casting me in the title role of The Wilt Chamberlain Story. And the other problem?

It’s only make believe.

UPDATE: What’d I tell ya?:  “He might prove to be our Ronald Reagan Candidate.”

Posted in Americana, Blogophilia, Medialites, Politics and Poker | 11 Comments »

Pay Per Post — is it all about quality?

Posted by Ron Coleman on March 17, 2007

Jason Calacanis, writing in the context of tech blogging, rejects the view that Pay Per Post is a “necessary evil” for those who can’t hope to attract ad dollars to their blogs because they believe there’s no longer opportunity to break through to the “A-List” of bloggers:

The PayPerIdiots are trying to make their DECEPTIVE service into a class war–so, so obvious guys. There is a reason why you guys came up with such a dumb service, and your arguments prove exactly how unintelligent you are. It’s ***not*** a class war, it’s an ***integrity*** war. If you want to have no integrity do covert marketing with PayPerPost, if you want to have integrity don’t–but let’s not make this about the “haves and have nots”–that’s just dumb.

I don’t agree (and I’m not alone).  There are two things here:  Whether there is an “A-List,” and whether Pay Per Post is an answer to those who despair of ever joining it.

I do think Calacanis is right that quality ultimately will tell, in terms of the Pay Per Post issue.  I explain that more below.  But I think it’s naive to say there are not existing cliques in the blogosphere who hold the keys to success, and that there are a lot of established players who aren’t all that good or all that consistent. This is to be expected in any medium as it matures.

And as to pay-per-post, well, I wrote this in the New Jersey Law Journal earlier this year. It’s a little clunky because it was not written on a blog (I’ve added a couple of links, but couldn’t link in the column) and because it’s for a non-blog-savvy audience:

Op-ed
Hands Off Blogs
Mandatory disclosure of payment to bloggers runs counter to free expression


New Jersey Law Journal
January 26, 2007

No one is free from bias of some sort or another, especially people who spend their time (paid or otherwise) writing opinions – whether in daily newspaper columns, legal newspapers or blogs, the newest, most exciting and most democratic medium of expression in the real and virtual worlds.

Opinion writers are understood by axiom to have an opinion; and it is just as axiomatic that opinions can be “negotiable” in all sorts of ways, overt and subtle.

Yet in the emerging world of blog publishing, there is a troubling trend toward mandatory disclosure of one kind of bias – the kind directly attributable to payment of material compensation to a blogger addressed specifically in a Dec.7 Federal Trade Commission informal opinion involving a company called PayPerPost Inc. – that is misguided, contrary to free speech principles and a threat to the growth of a dynamic economic and cultural phenomenon.

Almost two years ago, the blogosphere – the community, or group of communities, of ardent blog writers, commentators and readers – hiccupped with the discovery that a top liberal blogger, Markos Moulitsas Zúniga, of the DailyKos.com blog, a vocal supporter of the Howard Dean campaign during the 2004 election, had been a paid consultant to Dean. The blogosphere erupted with that characteristically exaggerated self-importance bloggers love to show in a debate over whether, how and what had been disclosed. Read the rest of this entry »

Posted in Blogophilia, Gelt | 1 Comment »

Running dog of success

Posted by Ron Coleman on March 15, 2007

I just wrote this at Likelihood of Confusion:

A website called the Great Firewall of China tests websites to see if they’re being censored in China.

To my disappointment, I don’t rate. And it’s not as if I haven’t tried to offend. More than once. A lot more.

Hat tip to Roland Dodds.

Yes, disappointing… but the good news is: This blog — featuring all of ten days’ worth of blogging, and none about China — is blocked!

What did I do right?

Thing is, in half an hour I’ll probably be uncensored again.

Posted in Blogophilia, Oppression, Politics and Poker | 5 Comments »

Taste check

Posted by Ron Coleman on March 15, 2007

“Speaking of Jews and knives”?

I agree with every little thing Ann wrote in this piece. But the subhead… I think it does not quite pass the delicacy test.

Posted in Blogophilia, Orient | 3 Comments »

Best new blog name

Posted by Ron Coleman on March 14, 2007

“I can’t believe it’s not better.”

 

Not surprisingly, it’s about software.

Posted in Blogophilia | Leave a Comment »

In the nicest possible way

Posted by Ron Coleman on March 12, 2007

I don’t know Megan McArdle. She has her own blog (she’s “Jane Galt”). I don’t read it. It may be very good; it seems to be very popular, but once I hit the Ayn Rand iconography you lose me. That’s just me. By all the evidence, it is, or she is, good enough to substitute for Glenn Reynolds on Instapundit this week. That is a major feather in a blogger’s cap, to say the least, something to be jealous of. So of course, yes, I’m jealous of her blog, and her blogging fame, and her Wikipedia article, and all that.

I just don’t think she’s writing so good on Instapundit (besides the fact that she spells like a Canadian — that’s just wrong!). And it’s not usually my business to say that about other bloggers, but here’s why I think it matters. I mean it in the nicest possible way. Read the rest of this entry »

Posted in Blogophilia | 7 Comments »

Anything you say can and will be used against you

Posted by David M. Nieporent on March 10, 2007

Of particular interest to anybody blogging (or posting comments), is Randy Barnett’s post at the Volokh Conspiracy:What is Off The Record?:

I love the Internet, and it was the advent of accurate search engines, Google to be specific, that really brought out its potential. Add to this the ability to reach an audience via blogging. So far as I am concerned, the Internet + search + blogging is a modern miracle. But, as with any technological marvel, there are downsides. One for me is the threat to the sanctity of a private conversation. I once had private lunch at a restaurant with two student interns who peppered me with questions. Afterward, one of them posted an account of my answers as though it had been an interview. The account was positive and generally accurate, but contained candid statements concerning my career ambitions that, while I had no qualms about offering them in private, would certainly not want published. I later learned that a goodly number of my students had read it.

His specific point is about people posting accounts of private conversations on the internet, where they become open to the world. Or, as he poses the question:

In the world of Internet + search + blogging, however, what is “off” and what is “on” the record?

The sad answer is that you can’t assume that anything is off the record. (We lawyers, of course, have always operated from the premise that you don’t put anything on paper that you wouldn’t want someone else to read.)

That isn’t really the issue here, of course; when you blog, you realize (hope!) that people will read it. But the underlying question — about whether people will suffer negative consequences based on what’s out there about them on the web — is still valid.

(As I note in the comments over there, the real problem is search engine archives; those effectively ensure that once something is posted, it exists forever, at least in Google’s cache, even if the official web page is later deleted.)

I guess I have two predictions:

First, as to things we did when we were young popping up again in the future and derailing our political careers, or our regular careers: I bet the public is actually a lot more sensible than private businesses are. The public is more likely to forgive candidates who engaged in “youthful indiscretions” than employers are to forgive job applicants. (Perhaps that’s because the public can’t be sued for negligent voting, the way private businesses can for negligent hiring.)

Second, this issue will be hyped in the near future, but it won’t take long to bore people. Just as smoking marijuana was a big deal for a candidate at one point, but now even Barack Obama’s admitted cocaine use barely rates a yawn. Or, you know, some American Idol contestant got kicked off for appearing in racy photos online a few seasons ago — but now it’s a big snore. And once everyone on the planet has their own blog (if that isn’t the case already), employers aren’t going to waste their time reading them just to see if they can find something bad about job applicants — so even if there are posts out there that show, I don’t know, people molesting porcupines, who’s going to notice?

Posted in Blogophilia, Futurama, Nuvo-Techno | 1 Comment »