Likelihood of Success

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Archive for the ‘Orient’ Category

Crusade against neocons

Posted by Ron Coleman on March 20, 2007

Martin Kramer says at his Sandbox blog (and I paraphrase) that Jacob Weisberg must be dizzy after his dervish-like rotations in Slate on Bernard Lewis, in which Weisberg claims Professor Lewis soft-pedals the Crusades — anything to bury neoconservatism, which Weisberg pronounces very dead. Weisberg is so giddy over how the ocean of spilled Moorish blood has led to this development that, in his own turn at revisionist history, he pronounces that the”less principled, more effective pragmatism associated with Bush 41, Brent Scowcroft, and James Baker” was… “more effective.”

Kramer demonstrates (hat tip to Soccer Dad!) that Weisberg is wrong on the first count. Is it really necessary to demonstrate that he’s wrong on the second? (Because if it is, I respectfully submit that it’s been done.)

Posted in Medialites, Orient, Past is prologue, Politics and Poker | Leave a Comment »

Shark attack!

Posted by Ron Coleman on March 19, 2007

Attorneys' waiting room, Second Department

Sedate scenes like the one above (the attorneys’ waiting room at New York’s Second Department Appellate Division in Brooklyn) are what you’re supposed to think of when you think of attorneys and their well-known constructive effect on the building and stabilization of civil society.

Who coughed?!

Okay, well, it’s bad enough that we’re always being overlawyered. Now my briefcase-toting brethren are posing a physical threat to public order — in Pakistan:

Lawyers have boycotted courts across Pakistan in protest at President Musharraf’s suspension of the country’s top judge for alleged misuse of office.In Lahore, more than 20 lawyers were injured in clashes with police. Hundreds of lawyers wearing black suits rallied in other cities.

Colin Samuels writes, “I’ve not seen anything like this since an ill-advised practical skills session at a police brutality law CLE.”

Comment on Dean’s World, where I cross-posted this.

Posted in Lex scripta, Orient | Leave a Comment »

Resilience watch, done defiantly

Posted by Ron Coleman on March 19, 2007

Insty points to Jules Crittenden, who writes:

The AP’s Stephen R. Hurst proclaims the resilience of Sunni insurgents!

BAGHDAD (AP) – Sunni insurgents, resilient despite the five-week security crackdown in the capital, killed at least six more American troops over the weekend. A Sunni car bomber hit a largely Shiite district in the capital Sunday, killing at least eight people.

I’m getting a warm and fuzzy Pravda kind of feel off that, the ”resilience.” Stalwart insurgents resiliently marching forward! You have to troll the North Korean web to find that kind of thing these days!

I have one thing to add. One key word that Jules forgot to focus on when writing about this kind of writing:

DEFIANT!

You always know the bad guys are losing when the opposition press starts describing them as defiant. Arafat was always defiant. Castro? Señor Desafiante. Not only losers — Iran is always defiant. The little genocidal mullahs that could. As long as they’re on the other side, they’re defiant or, as we see, frequently resilient.

By and large, though, the more defiant they get, the better we’re doing. Even if they’re about to blow their own brains out. Just do tell me when you read an MSM account of meek submission, pathetic surrender or broken acknowledgment of defeat by any enemy of the United States or its allies.

Posted in Medialites, Orient, Stragety | 7 Comments »

Taste check

Posted by Ron Coleman on March 15, 2007

“Speaking of Jews and knives”?

I agree with every little thing Ann wrote in this piece. But the subhead… I think it does not quite pass the delicacy test.

Posted in Blogophilia, Orient | 3 Comments »

An adult runs for President

Posted by Ron Coleman on March 14, 2007

The New York Times reports that Senator Clinton acknowledges what any mature statesman must: Even if she were elected President, an immediate, complete withdrawal of troops from Iraq would be the wrong thing to do:

She said in the interview that there were “remaining vital national security interests in Iraq” that would require a continuing deployment of American troops.

The United States’ security would be undermined if parts of Iraq turned into a failed state “that serves as a petri dish for insurgents and Al Qaeda,” she said. “It is right in the heart of the oil region. It is directly in opposition to our interests, to the interests of regimes, to Israel’s interests.”

I’ve remarked before that Senator Clinton, notwithstanding how much is distasteful (okay, or worse) about her as a candidate, stands out in one important regard — and does so even despite her husband’s own weakness in the same department: She is often willing to spend political capital to act and sound like a leader. For someone seeking the Democratic nomination to make the admission above puts her head and shoulders above the rest of them, and presents a real potential problem for the GOP candidate on what should be the GOP candidate on what should be the Republicans’ strongest issue: The question of whether any Democrat can be trusted on foreign policy.

UPDATE: Tom McGuire rounds up, is unimpressed.

Posted in Orient, Politics and Poker | 2 Comments »

Better or worse than General Custer?

Posted by David M. Nieporent on March 14, 2007

Regardless of how one feels about the Bush administration’s handling of the war in Iraq, one thing is undeniable: the Democratic response has ranged from feeble (nonbinding resolutions) to absurd (“timetables”). Even the reliably liberal Los Angeles Times is condemning the House Democrats’ latest timetable plan, the one which calls for all sorts of “benchmarks” and schedules withdrawal by mid-2008, asking, “Do we really need a General Pelosi?”

The plan is an unruly mess: bad public policy, bad precedent and bad politics. If the legislation passes, Bush says he’ll veto it, as well he should.

Wow. For the L.A. Times, which generally sits around complaining that Bush is too unwilling to consult with others, to actually advocate that Bush should veto a Democratic proposal, is pretty amazing.

This is not to say that Congress has no constitutional leverage — only that it should exercise it responsibly. In a sense, both Bush and the more ardent opponents of the war are right. If a majority in Congress truly believes that the war is not in the national interest, then lawmakers should have the courage of their convictions and vote to stop funding U.S. involvement. They could cut the final checks in six months or so to give Bush time to manage the withdrawal. Or lawmakers could, as some Senate Democrats are proposing, revoke the authority that Congress gave Bush in 2002 to use force against Iraq.

[…]

By interfering with the discretion of the commander in chief and military leaders in order to fulfill domestic political needs, Congress undermines whatever prospects remain of a successful outcome. It’s absurd for House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-San Francisco) to try to micromanage the conflict, and the evolution of Iraqi society, with arbitrary timetables and benchmarks.

Exactly. The real problem here isn’t that the Democrats disagree with Bush on foreign policy; the real problem is that Democrats aren’t thinking of this as foreign policy at all. They’re thinking of this as purely a question of domestic politics. I don’t say that they want the U.S. to fail in Iraq — but they’re more worried about making sure that Bush is blamed for it than about avoiding it.

(Hat Tip: Baseball Crank)

Posted in Orient | 8 Comments »

CAIR in the Capitol

Posted by Ron Coleman on March 12, 2007

The Captain’s Quarters blog reports that Democratic Representative Bill Pascrell is hosting a reception for CAIR, a front for terrorism, tomorrow at the U.S. Capitol:

CAIR’s ties to terrorism have been outlined by Joe Kaufman at Front Page for some time. They first came to light when the Islamic organization attempted to hijack 9/11 donations by sending them to the Holy Land Foundation — a “charity” that funded Hamas. After getting caught, CAIR explicitly noted that the funds would go to the HLF and to a new entity called Global Relief Foundation — which sent money to Al-Qaeda and other related groups.

Pascrell’s approval of CAIR’s meeting request was confirmed by the Washington Times and by me, just now, with my fancy black telephone. One remarkable aspect of this is that Pascrell — my representative — represents the very orthodox Jewish communities in Passaic and Clifton, New Jersey. But his District also includes Paterson, a major Muslim population and cultural center.

So Pascrell is in a tough spot, politically, but it should be tougher. Realpolitik concerns and the self-immolation of the GOP in my home state have guaranteed Pascrell a lifetime tenure in New Jersey, a one-party state if there ever was one.

I don’t know how much can be mobilized in my neighborhood to protest against Pascrell’s support of CAIR in this short time (though it is not really news), but this demonstrates how Jews, for all their purported political clout and sophistication, can be co-opted as fast as any other interest group once there is no longer a political alternative. This is what has happened in New Jersey.

UPDATE: More context from Lynn B. InContext (hat tip to David Gerstman) and Jihad Watch.

UPPERDATE: Maybe they will get to Washington via AIR-CAIR! No security checks needed.

Posted in Orient, Politics and Poker | 2 Comments »

The peace party

Posted by Ron Coleman on March 10, 2007

Frank J. explains the stragety animating the Democratic Party’s conception of “supporting the troops”: “They’re shooting back! We have to pull out troops now!”

Posted in Jocularity, Orient, Politics and Poker | Leave a Comment »

I know what I am and I’m glad I’m a man and so is Mullah

Posted by Ron Coleman on March 7, 2007

A prominent Taliban cross-dresser got picked up. By NATO, that is:

Mullah Mahmood, who is accused of helping the Taliban detonate suicide bombs, was caught Tuesday in Kandahar province while wearing [a burqa,] the all-encompassing Islamic veil worn here by women, NATO said.

Posted in Jocularity, Orient | 11 Comments »

Jihad What?

Posted by Ron Coleman on March 6, 2007

Robert Spencer was nice enough to invite me to write for Jihad Watch, as he recently acknowledged. As he puts it:

Anyway, a good many good writers jumped out of Esmay’s ideological gulag at that point, including Ron Coleman of LikelihoodofConfusion.com (who tells me that he is looking for a “home” for general-interest blogging; I invited him to write here but he politely declined my invitation because he is not primarily focused on the jihad …)

I’m not just unfocused on it. I’m downright befuddled by it.

Believe me, I’m (intellectually, not emotionally) scared of “the Jihad,” or whatever you may want to call the Suicide Belt Boys. I’d be stupid not to be. Dean Esmay does not argue “we have nothing to be afraid of” — far from it. Dean does, however, have his own preferences in terms of nomenclature, which is evidently quite a big deal. Fine. On the other hand, before 9/11 I remember having a perfectly civil, and quite interesting, discussion about GOP outreach to conservative Muslims with Grover Norquist, who by all indications is now pretty much “discredited.” It seemed like a good idea at the time.

On the other hand I don’t know what to make of this article in Jihad Watch on an exchange with Dinesh D’Souza which I thought would clarify everything, but most assuredly does not:

D’SOUZA: One of the problems here is a little bit of paranoia. These guys, Spencer, Serge, have been running around basically saying I am trying to silence them, whereas all I am doing is disagreeing with them.

Caught making an indefensible point, D’Souza lies about it. In his book, this is exactly what he says: “In order to build alliances with traditional Muslims, the right must take three critical steps. First, stop attacking Islam. Conservatives have to cease blaming Islam for the behavior of the radical Muslims. Recently the right has produced a spate of Islamophobic tracts with titles like Islam Unveiled [by Spencer], Sword of the Prophet [by Trifkovic], and The Myth of Islamic Tolerance [by Spencer]. There is probably no better way to repel traditional Muslims, and push them into the radical camp, than to attack their religion and their prophet.”

Okay, so I don’t understand how this is “trying to silence” anyone. Saying “shut up, you’re doing something stupid” is not “trying to silence” someone. (This is trying to silence someone.) It’s telling them — this is rhetoric — “you should not say what you’re saying if you want to come to an accomodation.”

I don’t agree with D’Souza. But I don’t think what he’s saying is what Robert says he is. Now, that also doesn’t mean Robert’s wrong about D’Souza. This — from that same posting — is truly damning:

HENNEN: OK, one at a time here; your question for Dinesh, Serge, is?

TRIFKOVIC: In what order are the Suras arranged in the Kuran?

D’SOUZA: [long silence] I really don’t know what you mean by that. When you say “in what order” then… err… [pause] there…

TRIFKOVIC: … an interlocutor who tries to pass authoritative judgments on the subject is refusing to tell me how are the Suras and the verses of the Kuran arranged. They happen to be arranged by SIZE, from short to long!

Well, that sure seems like something you better know before you write a book about Islam, isn’t it? I think Robert’s got plenty to work with here without stretching about being “silenced” by D’Souza.

But at the end of the day, you can see why I don’t want to make this “my topic.” I’ve gone through about half a dozen tractates of the Talmud from beginning to end and I don’t even really know what’s in them. Forget it. My main reaction to radical Islam is to stay out of its way.

Posted in Faith and Works, Orient | 7 Comments »