Likelihood of Success

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Archive for the ‘Orient’ Category

Facebook debate on Iraq

Posted by Ron Coleman on December 15, 2008

Ron Dean Esmay makes the one point about Iraq, the presidency and GWB and history that everyone’s all too willing to forget http://bit.ly/9R2A.via Twitter – 2:01pm

Brian Gocial at 3:12pm December 14
I certainly hope you’re right that in the long-term invading Iraq will turn out to have good consequences. But I think the only way “history will not be kind to many of the so-called ‘progressives'” is if the United States Constitution is no longer the governing law of our country.
Judith Weiss at 3:27pm December 14
The people most likely to play games with the Constitution are Dems. For example, Obama wants to use the Supreme Court to redistribute income, which is not its job.
Timbo Jones at 4:29pm December 14
True, the Supreme Court is not supposed to do such things…which is why I guess the Bush administration doesn’t bother with such things when conducting unconstitutional acts.
Rhoads Hollowell at 4:46pm December 14
I am sorry, Ron, but the Project For a New American Century was an evil group from the start, and the end does not justify the means, even in this case.
Ron Coleman at 5:01pm December 14
Brian, you’re certainly entitled to your opinion on that matter!

Which were the objectionable means you have in mind, Rhoads? Humor me.

Rhoads Hollowell at 5:07pm December 14
attacking a sovereign country just because you think it would be a good idea, and then making up the justification so you could do so.
Ron Coleman at 5:15pm December 14
Well, I suppose if I accept all your false premises as true, I’d agree with you. Yeah, definitely evil.
Rhoads Hollowell at 5:17pm December 14
And if you believed in the concept of the rule of law, you would accept my premises as true. There was only one reason that the war in Iraq could ever have been judged as legal: that we did indeed find WMD. We did not. Therefore it was not legal under international law. My source for this is Dean Slaughter of the WWS, a source I think is reliable.
Ron Coleman at 5:34pm December 14
I must admit this is the first time I ever heard it suggested that legality of an act is to be determined based on ex post evaluation of whether certain facts assumed to be true ex ante are in fact true, regardless of what a reasonable person would have believed ex ante.

I knew it that this was the basis — along with taking causalities — for Democrats to decide whether or not they supported the war when it was going badly, but not whether it was legal in the first place.

There is a vast degree of opinion regarding the war’s legality:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Legality_of_the_Iraq_War

As a general rule almost every opinion on the matter promulgated by an institution, person or other entity came to a conclusion that could be predicted based on that source’s political inclinations regarding the matter.

That doesn’t mean you’re wrong or that it doesn’t matter. It means the question is more complex than you suggest.

Brian Gocial at 6:55pm December 14
Preemptive war, manipulating intelligence, illegal wiretapping, torture, rendition, signing statements, executive secrecy, indefinite imprisonment w/o due process … there is nothing complex about the unconstitutionality of these “means.”
Stephen Ban at 9:59pm December 14
and yet, no further terrorist acts on US soil, and ample evidence that many have been thwarted. It’s a fascinating choice… “unlawful” (your words) and alive vs. self-righteous and dead… complex world out there, isn’t it?
Ron Coleman at 10:50pm December 14
Not only that, Stephen. “International law” is pretty much of interest to those on the outside looking in. Every single country in a position to project power on any level ignores international law when it is in its interest do so, including all the weak sisters of Western Europe. And not only decades ago, but whenever it works for tghem.

Brian, you are mistaking political sloganeering for reality.

Brian Gocial at 8:33am December 15
Ron,

I only wish these serious issues were political sloganeering rather than reality …

But back to the point of your original post, history will be the judge of who is correct. Until then, we’ll each live in the reality of our own choosing.

Ron Coleman at 12:59pm December 15
Well, mentally anyway. Reality chooses us!
—
Pretty good stuff, and lots of anger still boiling. Still, it seems that great minds think alike:

History will one day credit Bush with patience, multilateralism and conviction. But right now, history is still being made. And there is a war to be continued and to be won.

Can you guess who said it?  No peeking!

Posted in Oppression, Orient, Past is prologue, Politics and Poker, Stragety | 1 Comment »

We’re all Chabadniks now

Posted by Ron Coleman on November 27, 2008

Extremist Muslims lashing out angrily at the West, as leverage on the Hindu majority in India, have slaughtered over 100 people in the Indian city of Mumbai.  (Good roundup here.)  These people were killed, in classical Islamist terrorist style, for just being who they are.  So naturally the Jews were on their list of targets too, and the latest news is that   “ten to twenty” Israelis are being held hostage in Mumbai’s Chabad House and a Mumbai hotel.  [Update for live reports here.]

The Rabbi and his Wife

The Rabbi and his wife

What’s a Chabad house?  CHABAD is the Hebrew acronym for the words chochma, bina and daas — wisdom, understanding and knowledge — which form the basis of the philosophy of these Orthodox Jews, hasidim of the Lubavitch movement (named after a Russian town whence sprung their grand rabbis).  Chabad has been controversial among Jews for over half a century, both for important aspects of its philosophy that distinguish it from other Orthodox Jewish approaches, for departing as it has from certain communal and “political” expectations of leaders among both the hasidic and non-hasidic world of strictly Orthodox Jews, and, most recently, for the unfortunate messianic insistences of a significant percentage of its adherents regarding its late Grand Rabbi, Rabbi Menachem Mendel Schneerson, a multifaceted genius who passed away 14 years ago and who despite his revolutionary leadership did not bring the Redemption.

Antipathy towards Lubavitch, or Chabad, has been intense among non-Lubavitchers among the strictly Orthodox for many years, in fact, and there is very little interaction between this group and the rest of us, even though many — such as myself — were profoundly and positively influenced by them at one time in their lives, frequently as a result of Chabad’s groundbreaking worldwide outreach efforts.  Their interest has always been to recapture the spark of Jewishness in every child of the people Israel, though as is our practice not to proselytize outside of this extended family.  But as to those within, not a single Jewish soul, they believed, taught and lived, is to be written off.  Unfortunately, and ironically, their subculture within the broader strictly Orthodox Jewish subculture is perceived to have departed so far from the main that, for most, in the main centers of Jewish life we do not mix.

But today we are all Lubavitchers, all Chabadniks.  Rabbi Gavriel Holtzberg and his wife Rivka Holtzberg were sent to Mumbai by Lubavitch to do their part to account for the thousands of Jewish souls, many Israeli, doing business, and others seeking (we believe, erroneously) spiritual enlightenment, in this major Indian city.  They manned the Chabad House in Mumbai and met the expectation of every Jew who travels the world that in any place where it is likely that more than a handful of Jews might be found, there is a Chabad House (frequently where the Chabad rabbi and his family live) to offer Shabbos (Sabbath) hospitality, kosher food, perhaps even a bed for a few days, a connection to the root of the Jewish world and perhaps a little mashke (straight vodka) and a few hasidic stories more than “thrown in” for inspiration.

The latest report on the status of the Holtzbergs, their place and their persons targeted, as persons such as these have always been, is not encouraging.  Read the rest of this entry »

Posted in Faith and Works, Heart and spirit, Orient | 37 Comments »

The Ninth of Av

Posted by Ron Coleman on August 8, 2008

destruction-full.jpg

Jewish tradition teaches that on Tisha B’Av (the Ninth day of the month of Av) , five national calamities occurred:

  1. During the time of Moses, Jews in the desert accepted the slanderous report of the ten spies, and the decree was issued by God forbidding them from entering the Land of Israel. (1312 BCE — traditional Jewish dating)
  2. The First Temple was destroyed by the Babylonians, led by Nebuchadnezzar. 100,000 Jews were slaughtered and millions more exiled. (586 BCE)
  3. The Second Temple was destroyed by the Romans, led by Titus. Traditional sourcest teach that two million Jews died, and another one million were exiled. (70 CE)
  4. The Bar Kochba revolt was crushed by Roman Emperor Hadrian. The city of Betar — the Jews’ last stand against the Romans — was captured and liquidated. Over 100,000 Jews were slaughtered. (135 CE)
  5. The Temple area and its surroundings were plowed under by the Roman general Terentius Rufus. Jerusalem was rebuilt as a pagan city — renamed Aelia Capitolina — and access was forbidden to Jews.

Other grave misfortunes throughout Jewish history occurred on the Ninth of Av, including:

  1. The Spanish Inquisition culminated with the expulsion of Jews from Spain on Tisha B’Av in 1492.
  2. World War One broke out on the eve of Tisha B’Av in 1914 when Germany declared war on Russia. German resentment from the war set the stage for the Holocaust.
  3. On the eve of Tisha B’Av 1942, the mass deportation began of Jews from the Warsaw Ghetto, en route to Treblinka.

More here on the Ninth of Av, which begins Saturday night. Observant Jews will fast (a complete fast — no food, no water) until nightful Sunday night. For us, this is the “hardest” day of the year.

Adapted from last year.

Posted in Faith and Works, Heart and spirit, Oppression, Orient, Past is prologue | Leave a Comment »

Not so strange bedfellows

Posted by Ron Coleman on May 11, 2008

Michael Young at Reason Magazine is shocked, shocked at all that “strange new respect” being directed to Hezbollah by “the writer and academic Norman Finkelstein.” (Via Goldberg, via Instapundit.)

“Writer and academic”? Yeah, wasn’t Joseph Goebbels one of those, too?

Then, as a topper — Noam Chomsky! Sympathetic to Arab mass murderers, those guys? Really? Who knew. Good thing about these Internets is you get the news and stuff fast!

Posted in Orient, Politics and Poker | 2 Comments »

“Osama” threatens Europe

Posted by Ron Coleman on March 20, 2008

ABC News breathlessly reports, “Osama Threatens Europe Over Cartoons.”

I am certain he has been dead for years, and the more often he is propped up like this with stock photos certainter I get. You can imagine how rock-solid certain that is with a guy like me, already.

Posted in Medialites, Oppression, Orient | 3 Comments »

Taking the Iraq question seriously

Posted by Ron Coleman on March 17, 2008

Slate seems to actually be interested in discussing the question, rather than posturing about it:

To mark the fifth anniversary of the invasion of Iraq, Slate has asked a number of writers who originally supported the war to answer the question, “Why did we get it wrong?” We have invited contributions from the best-known “liberal hawks,” many of whom participated in two previous Slate debates about the war, the first before it began in fall of 2002, the second in early 2004. We will be publishing their responses through the week. Read the rest of the contributions.

The reaction to this should be interesting.

Posted in Orient, Sisyphus, Stragety | 3 Comments »

Perceive from Heaven, and see

Posted by Ron Coleman on March 9, 2008

Since blogging this story about the murder in the Mercaz HaRav yeshiva in Jerusalem on Thursday, I haven’t been too inclined toward political, humor or clever blogging. I left that story at the top of my blog, therefore, and with this I will make my final points on the matter for now, though, and… “move on,” as they say.

It is hard to explain how significantly this attack has been felt in particular by orthodox Jews in America. Most outsiders do not even understand what these students, who mainly learn the Babylonian Talmud, do all day, or why. That’s beyond the scope of this item, but this slaughter was emotionally wrenching in a unique way to people such as myself because as the father of yeshiva-age students, most of my friends have or very soon will have children studying in similar institutions in that very same neighborhood or otherwise nearby. I also studied in yeshiva in Israel myself.

Until now there had been what may have looked like an “understanding” that religious institutions were off limits to Arab terrorism. This was not some sort of good will gesture; Arab antisemitism is so deep and profound in its modern form that Jews are hated as Jews and Judaism as the offensive creed of Jews more or less on the visceral level of Nazis. But as a tactical matter, it does not “look good” in the West to kill rabbis, or students, and it could make the Europeans hold onto their regular infusion of cash for a month or something if they get embarrassed by their Palestinian clients.

The Mercaz HaRav yeshiva, though, was a good place from the Arab point of view to break down that wall. It is, unlike the non-Zionist yeshiva where I studied or where my particular circle of friends would send their boys, the flagship of the Religious Zionist movement. Its philosophy expressly mixes the State of Israel into religion, and frequently in a militant fashion. And its student body is mainly Israeli, unlike the Mirrer Yeshiva, for example, which has a large American contingent.

But no one familiar with this scene is kidding himself. Political and philosophical distinctions aside, these are absolutely our boys, and they are the targets of the murderers who have been raised by birth to believe that to kill a Jew is a politically and morally justifiable act; no, praiseworthy; and that there is, in the greater world, no penalty for this, no opprobrium, no condemnation.

Right wingers, Jewish and otherwise, and even those more moderately inclined burn with a desire for vengeance for these killings, but there is no tactical advantage to it, and the emotional satisfaction is short-lived. The actual killer is dead. He probably acted more or less alone, or with a loose group of friends. Do we kill in Gaza because they are so debased that they celebrated the spilling of our blood? Does that save our children the next time?

The Jews in Israel cannot, as a practical matter, or a spiritual matter, engage in endless warfare for generations to come. No nation can — where is Sparta? A permanent war footing is not tolerable to any society, economically, socially, spiritually. Total war against all Arabs is not a winning proposition for the Jews. Those who say it is are either not really exposed to the costs and risks of maintaining such a fight, or are lashing out emotionally, viscerally, hormonally, or are simply delusional.

Well, is a permanent state of victimhood tolerable?

It is not … “tolerable.” But we have tolerated it.

Twice a week we Jews beseech the Creator:

Look down from heaven and perceive that we have become an object of scorn and derision among the nations. We are reckoned as the sheep led to the slaughter, to be killed, destroyed, beaten and humiliated. But despite this we have not forgotten Your Name. Pease do not forget us.

It is a very old prayer.

Cross-posted on Right Wing News.

Posted in Faith and Works, Orient, Past is prologue | 2 Comments »

AP: 7 killed in Jerusalem terror attack

Posted by Ron Coleman on March 6, 2008

Breaking news:

Two terrorists infiltrated a rabbinical seminary at the entrance of Jerusalem and opened fire after nightfall Thursday, police said. One person was wounded. Ambulances raced to the scene from around the city.

The seminary is the Mercaz Harav yeshiva in the Kiryat Moshe quarter of Jerusalem.

This is, unfortunately, an entirely new front.

And not new at all.

UPDATE (hat tip to Ed Alper):

In Gaza City, residents went out into the streets and fired rifles in celebration in the air after hearing news of the attack on the seminary.

UPDATE: David Linn emails, for purposes of praying for mercy and a complete recovery for victims (it is the first name of each student, followed by ben — “son of” — and his mother’s name):

Here’s the full list of boys injured in the attack:

Naftali ben Gila
Yonatan ben Avital
Shimon ben Tirza
Nadav ben Hadas
Reuven ben Naomi
Elchanan ben Zehava

Posted in Oppression, Orient, Past is prologue | 6 Comments »

Not all chairs are green

Posted by Ron Coleman on February 29, 2008

Instapundit:

DISCRIMINATION IS TERRIBLE, unless there’s money in it: “Cal Poly wants to open a male-only engineering program at a university in Saudi Arabia.” Would they have opened a whites-only engineering school in the old South Africa?

Are non-coed schools really the same thing as racially segregated schools?  Of course not.  They aren’t even against the law in this country; and Saudi Arabia is a different country with a different culture.

I attended male-only rabbinical schools, and my children are all in male-only schools.  Our religious beliefs dictate this.  And we’re Americans. It’s not a civil rights issue.  Why would a libertarian like Glenn Reynolds object to people making the choice of attending single-sex schools?  Is the fact that a school is a “state school” — whatever that might mean in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia — really what makes a difference?

Many non-religious people, notably females, choose to go to schools were interaction between the sexes is not a feature and they can focus on getting educated, not getting something else.

It’s an example of cultural arrogance to assume that Saudi Arabia should be America.  It’s something beyond that to apply a standard of “non-discrimination” that isn’t even applicable in this country.

Posted in Faith and Works, Oppression, Orient | 13 Comments »

Dinesh-ing it out

Posted by Ron Coleman on February 16, 2008

One of my earliest posts here was about the back and forth between Robert Spencer and the Dinesh D’Souza. I hadn’t given D’Souza’s evident crackup a third thought since then (a second thought, I did).

Well, in contrast, Bob is about nothing if not focus:

You may recall that before the illustrious Dinesh D’Souza was a would-be C.S. Lewis, he was a would-be Bernard Lewis — and in his disastrous book The Enemy At Home, surely a candidate to be named The Most Wrongheaded Book of the Twenty-First Century, he declared: “If they want Sharia, let them have it.”And he repeated this grand Let-The-People-Rule sentiment just weeks ago, at which time I first noted the analogy between D’Souza and Stephen A. Douglas, who didn’t care whether slavery were voted up or down as long as it was voted on — and I expressed a preference not for a new Stephen A. Douglas, but a new Lincoln.

But now D’Souza is singing a decidedly different tune, excoriating the Archdhimmi of Canterbury for saying that accommodation of Sharia law was “inevitable” in Britain, saying that the Archdhimmi’s modest proposal was “absurd,” and “a little dangerous to boot.”

It’s just the good old constitutional republicanism against pure democracy question — one that D’Souza seems to be working out very publicly. Which, if you can get book advances to do, is really not so terrible, as long as no one is really listening to you anyway.

Posted in Euroids, Faith and Works, Oppression, Orient | 1 Comment »