Likelihood of Success

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Archive for the ‘Orient’ Category

Iraq and the Muslims

Posted by Ron Coleman on December 2, 2007

It’s easy enough to be horrified with what the more severe Muslim regimes are doing to humans trying to just live these days. Read the rest at Right Wing News.

Posted in Orient, Stragety | Leave a Comment »

The Muslim grip

Posted by Ron Coleman on November 26, 2007

Unshakable — for some people, anyway.

UPDATE:  The rest of the story.

Posted in Oppression, Orient | 4 Comments »

Huckabee vs. Wahhabi

Posted by Ron Coleman on November 26, 2007

Mike Huckabee is trying to separate himself from the pack as the hour gets late by going after the Saudis.

Probably too little, too late. But I like when good candidates add legitimate issues to the campaign this way. I have my view, but this is a legitimate issue.

Posted in Orient, Politics and Poker | 1 Comment »

In the bunker

Posted by Ron Coleman on November 23, 2007

The Weekly Standard (via Glenn) on left-wing denial of the improvemement in Iraq:

Of course, the left-wing nutroots live in their own self-contained universe.

The real question: are congressional Democrats really going to stay in the bunker with them through November 2008?

I think there’s another question: Whither the mainstream media? Answer that one, and then see where the one posed by the Standard goes.

Posted in Medialites, Orient, Politics and Poker | 3 Comments »

What is to be done?

Posted by Ron Coleman on November 19, 2007

Christopher Hitchens (via Instapundit):

“[T]he cabinet,” according to the Nov. 18 New York Times, “has sent legislation to the Parliament softening the de-Baathification law that had prevented former Baathists’ working in government jobs.” I wonder how many people, reading that ordinary sentence about “the cabinet” and “the Parliament,” as reported also in independent Iraqi media, have any idea what it means when compared with the insane proceedings of the totalitarian abattoir state that was Iraq until 2003.

Now juxtapose that with this Instapundit link:

NOT EXACTLY POSITIVE COVERAGE FROM THE NEW YORK TIMES:

Democrats in Congress failed once again Friday to shift President Bush’s war strategy in Iraq, but insisted that they would not let up. Their explanation for their latest foiled effort seemed to boil down to a simple question: “What else are we supposed to do?”

This is the same party whose legislative leader said, referring to Ronald Reagan, “The evil is in the White House” when he faced down Stalinism’s heirs. Let me give you the whole quote from the now mistily-remembered Tip O’Neill:

The evil is in the White House at the present time. And that evil is a man who has no care and no concern for the working class of America and the future generations of America, and who likes to ride a horse. He’s cold. He’s mean. He’s got ice water for blood.

Talk about ice water. The Democratic leadership, fearing their left flank, actually want to retreat, not when we’re losing, but when we’re winning — literally to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory and to turn over an entire country to an otherwise defeated “totalitarian abattoir state” — as we’ve done before.

“What else are we supposed to do?”

Cross-posted on Right Wing News.

Posted in Oppression, Orient, Stragety | 2 Comments »

Our ugly friends, the Saudis

Posted by Ron Coleman on November 18, 2007

What does a small-c-conservative Jew do with the Saudis?

Their latest exercise (or perhaps merely their latest one to draw worldwide attention) in medieval brutality, in which a female rape victim has been “sentenced” for her “crime” (see here for a more precise explanation of what really happened) is already well known on the Web. This regime is not ready for prime time, from the civilization point of view.

Where does that leave us?

Time out, here: By “us” I mean conservatives. And by conservatives, I mean conservatives who are sympathetic to the desire of Jewish inhabitants of the State of Israel not to be murdered. I thus read out of the movement antisemitic paleoconservatives such as Patrick Buchanan; yet I am not a neoconservative or even a Zionist either — just a politically conservative Jew who observes that conservatives are the best political friends of Jews in this country and in Israel.

Now, I find the most strident anti-Saudi voices are not Jewish, or Israeli. This is despite the fact that most of those voices, such as that of my friend Mary Madigan, are fabulously pro-Israel. Many neoconservatives, such as Daniel Pipes, sing much the same tune, and other conservatives, such as Ivan Eland of the Cato Institute, urge only a nominally more “balanced” approach that focuses entirely on the Kingdom’s tyrannical nature — the criticism of neocons being not their blindness to the strategic value of the Saudi relationship but rather their supposed oversensitivity on the importance of oil prices.

The United States should take a middle ground between the confrontational approach championed by neoconservatives and the Bush administration’s policy of appeasing the Saudi regime. The Saudi government is a medieval, despotic regime with an abysmal human rights record on a par with Iraq’s. The United States should withdraw political support from the regime and withdraw the U.S. military forces stationed on Saudi territory. The United States should not pull any diplomatic punches in pressuring the Saudi monarchy on its poor human rights record, its programs to acquire weapons of mass destruction, and its indirect support for terrorism.

Essentially, like the authoritarian “rogue states” (Iraq, Iran, Syria, Libya, Sudan, Cuba and North Korea), Saudi Arabia should be treated with suspicion, not friendship. At the same time, it should not be targeted for U.S. military attacks unless it is found directly culpable in sponsoring a terrorist attack against a U.S. target.

Putting Saudi Arabia essentially along the Axis of Evil is not a “middle ground,” however, if there is to be any hope of the relationship yielding strategic advantage for the U.S. By and large, conservative opinion in this country wants the Bush Administration to be tougher on the Saudis; and, contrary to what would be predicted by left wing and nativist fantasies about the “Zionist lobby,” this consensus by and large ignores what the primary victims of Islamist terrorism thing about Saudi Arabia’s role in the game: The Israelis, who recognize that Saudi Arabia is probably their last, best hope for a major Arab power that could broker some version of a Mideast “arrangement” that could perhaps give Israel decades more time to wait out some form of evolution in the Arab world away from violence and toward what we in the west regard as civilization — Israeli’s only long-term hope for survival from external threats.

There is no question that, as much as anyone else, the Saudis — by promoting the extremist Wahabi version of Islam — have done more to inflame Muslims to murderous violence than any other group, governmental or otherwise. But it is an error to conflate “the Saudis” into one homogeneous entity with only one agenda, except to the extent that that agenda is the maintenance of their continued power and influence. That bullet point on their “to do” list remains a key one, and that is why it is all but official Saudi policy that the State of Israel is a political and historical reality. That’s why the Israelis were ahead of many of their strongest supporters, who instinctively reject American military support of the Kingdom, and explicitly stated their support of a major U.S. arms sale to the Saudis last summer.

Saudi Arabia is a terrible place to live, but virtually none of us live there. Unlike Saddam Hussein’s Iraq, it is neither warlike in the traditional sense nor genocidal. What it once had in common with Saddam, its support of international terrorism, is clearly a policy that is changing. That does not mean we can expect the House of Saud to hand over its own members who have been supporting, and undoubtedly continue to support, our worst terrorist enemies, but it does mean that, unlike Saddam, there is a toehold of influence that the U.S. has over that process. What other powerful friends — with, or without scare quotes — does the U.S. have in the Arab Mideast?

Cross-posted on Right Wing News.

Posted in Oppression, Orient, Stragety | 3 Comments »

City of Brass: burn

Posted by Ron Coleman on November 12, 2007

City of Brass:

[I]t behooves us all to remember who kills the most innocent muslim blood in this world. Not secret Jewish cabals, or neocon conspiracies, or colonial designs; none of these bogeymen of the modern ummah are to blame.The Reavers. The Reavers alone are the enemy of the Ummah.

And the dominant organizing principle of a western muslim political movement must not be focused on nonsensically unrelated issues like Israel-Palestine or Iraq withdrawal or Iranian nuclear capabilities. Nor should it chase after “reform” or “moderation” or “dialog”. No; the dominant principle of a Western muslim polity should be to promote foreign policy that destroys them.

Until then, the Ummah will live in fear from within.

Okay, well, I don’t know about this Reaver business, but Aziz seems to absolutely get it.  Did he only get it at this point?  Or did I miss his anger at some point below the 59 innocent Muslim schoolchildren killed in a suicide attack this week?

Or was it the Muslim schoolchildren part I missed?  Well, in any event, here we are.  What will the Ummah do?  (Via Dean’s World.)

Posted in O Mores!, Oppression, Orient | 6 Comments »

They’ll be for it after they were against it

Posted by Ron Coleman on October 30, 2007

Rudy spins a nice meme:

Republican presidential hopeful Rudy Giuliani said Monday that two of the Democratic candidates will change their minds again about the Iraq war and agree that it was the right decision.Asked at a town-hall meeting to characterize the mission of U.S. troops in Iraq, Giuliani said they have done an admirable job.

“Do I think the mission overall in Iraq is the correct one, I think without a doubt it is,” the former New York mayor said at Insight Technologies, which makes tactical weapon lights and laser systems for the military.

“And I think the Democrats are going to change their minds about it again,” Giuliani said, noting that Hillary Rodham Clinton and John Edwards voted as senators for the initial invasion in 2003.

Nice little rhetorical move.

Posted in Orient, Politics and Poker, Stragety | 18 Comments »

Tough Turkey

Posted by Ron Coleman on October 28, 2007

Turkey has that Oriental swagger:

Turkey’s top military commander promised Saturday to make Iraq-based Kurdish rebels “grieve with an intensity that they cannot imagine” . . .

Can you imagine a “Western” country’s military leadership phrasing a threat that way? Say, one of ours? There would be Congressional hearings within the week, outraged editorials in the New York Times, and, probably, no grieving rebels.

Not that this means there will be any. Turkey hasn’t really shaken anyone up in about a hundred years. And, I don’t know, a lot of really good military powers have found Iraq… somewhat dicey, shall we say? … especially in the “insurgent” department.

But perhaps when dealing with this sort of enemy, there is something to be said for “mother of all battles”-type fighting words. Isn’t there?

Posted in Orient, Stragety | 4 Comments »

Weighing war words

Posted by Ron Coleman on October 14, 2007

General Sanchez speaks:

Sanchez said he felt he could not resign and go public with his reservations while he was in Iraq, because he feared that move could further jeopardize troops serving there.

“I think once you are retired, you have a responsibility to the nation, to your oath, to the country, to state your opinion,” he said.

Is that right? It’s an interesting proposition, actually. On the one hand, his formulation sounds intuitively correct. How could you be silent if you knew, perhaps better than anyone, “they” were blowing it, costing lives, still doing it all wrong?

On the other hand, how could you speak when your comments give aid and comfort to the enemy?

Given that both of these things may be present — as they seem to be, and it seems frequently will be — how do you weigh the opposing interests?

Posted in Orient, Stragety | 1 Comment »