Likelihood of Success

Ron Coleman’s pretty good blog

Crusade against neocons

Posted by Ron Coleman on March 20, 2007

Martin Kramer says at his Sandbox blog (and I paraphrase) that Jacob Weisberg must be dizzy after his dervish-like rotations in Slate on Bernard Lewis, in which Weisberg claims Professor Lewis soft-pedals the Crusades — anything to bury neoconservatism, which Weisberg pronounces very dead. Weisberg is so giddy over how the ocean of spilled Moorish blood has led to this development that, in his own turn at revisionist history, he pronounces that the”less principled, more effective pragmatism associated with Bush 41, Brent Scowcroft, and James Baker” was… “more effective.”

Kramer demonstrates (hat tip to Soccer Dad!) that Weisberg is wrong on the first count. Is it really necessary to demonstrate that he’s wrong on the second? (Because if it is, I respectfully submit that it’s been done.)

Posted in Medialites, Orient, Past is prologue, Politics and Poker | Leave a Comment »

Gunning for Jersey

Posted by Ron Coleman on March 20, 2007

A gun-rights-victory-in-NJ story — naturally Glenn, who I assume packs heat to class and probably the outhouse, links and cleverly (and accurately) refers to it as a “civil rights victory.”

Also a victory for the classily-named anonymous blog he linked to, if you consider the execution of gratuitous sarcasm about an entire state a win. Bring it on, girls. We know where you don’t live.

East Pyne Hall, Princeton University

Posted in Blogophilia | 2 Comments »

Big Fred

Posted by Ron Coleman on March 20, 2007

Mickey Kaus asks the question I’ve been asking:

Wherein lies the greatness of Sen. Fred Thompson? Just asking!

Me too. He’s being pumped like crazy by, for what it’s worth, some of my favorite bloggers. (Others are being characteristically skeptical — via IMAO!) But is this another case of mistaking the TV character for the person? Mickey continues:

All I remember is he was given custody of an important set of hearings–into China and campaign finance — and screwed them up. … He sounds good–in his John Fund interview he says lots of sensible things (especially about civil service protections). But ideally a presidential candidate has accomplished something–even if it’s only governing a state without steering it conspicuously into disaster. Obama hasn’t accomplished much [link added by me — RDC], but he’s only been in the Senate for two years. Thompson didn’t accomplish much in two years plus a full six-year term, no?. … I’d love to be wrong on this. Please tell me why. …

Big Fred

I can’t. But I can explain the interest: Conservatives are in the dumps because there isn’t a Reagan, or even the version of George W. Bush they thought they were buying, in this race. But what exactly it is that they see in Thompson is not clear unless, as I said, they are actually voting for a rich baritone voice, six-and-a-half-feet of USDA Grade A beef, and — here’s the kicker — his role as a fair but firm, if a little politicized, urban crime-fighter. And there are two problems with that. Kaus identified one:

P.S.: He’s a bad actor! I never believe he’s the character he’s playing (even when the character is essentially Fred Thompson). … 1:53 P.M

That’s not Fred’s fault. It’s the producers’ fault, for the absurd casting of a giant Tennessean in the role of Manhattan District Attorney. It’s like casting me in the title role of The Wilt Chamberlain Story. And the other problem?

It’s only make believe.

UPDATE: What’d I tell ya?:  “He might prove to be our Ronald Reagan Candidate.”

Posted in Americana, Blogophilia, Medialites, Politics and Poker | 11 Comments »

Surber channels ManBearPig

Posted by Ron Coleman on March 19, 2007

Don Surber gives Al Gore every benefit of the doubt and assumes that Al Gore will stick to his script, in which case, says Don, there’s nothing new — or particularly encouraging — to hear.

Posted in Politics and Poker | Leave a Comment »

A statue for George

Posted by Ron Coleman on March 19, 2007

Plimpton, that is. You don’t remember George Plimpton?

He edited the Harvard Lampoon and the Paris Review. He appeared in Rio Lobo with John Wayne and on The Simpsons with … the Simpsons. He had his nose bloodied by former light-heavyweight champ Archie Moore, pitched to Willie Mays and, most famously, played quarterback for the Detroit Lions. His friend Hunter S. Thompson once called him “the finest advertisement for Harvard University since LSD-25.” He drove a tank in the U.S. Army, interviewed Ernest Hemingway, and served as New York’s “official fireworks commissioner.” He partied with Norman Mailer, Muhammad Ali, Marianne Moore, and Jaqueline Kennedy. He made [things] up. We’re talking, of course, about George Plimpton—the sui generis pioneer of participatory journalism.

And Radar magazine says that a guy named Toby Barlow is trying to get support for his pet project: Getting a statue to the great man erected in New York City.

That sounds like a stretch, though Plimpton’s unusual career and talent certainly do seem to be entitled to a some kind of memorial. But a target for Manhattan pigeons? He was of that old WASP stock, true — the sorts of people who do have statues in the park. A literary man — he founded Paris Review — he was remarkable for how he stepped outside of the Harvard-man-of-letters stereotype and, still true to his craft, lived and explored life in at least three very enthusiastic dimensions. So perhaps a statue isn’t such a bad idea, after all. The only problem is that unlike Plimpton, it would be standing still.

Posted in Americana, Ars Longa | 1 Comment »

Shark attack!

Posted by Ron Coleman on March 19, 2007

Attorneys' waiting room, Second Department

Sedate scenes like the one above (the attorneys’ waiting room at New York’s Second Department Appellate Division in Brooklyn) are what you’re supposed to think of when you think of attorneys and their well-known constructive effect on the building and stabilization of civil society.

Who coughed?!

Okay, well, it’s bad enough that we’re always being overlawyered. Now my briefcase-toting brethren are posing a physical threat to public order — in Pakistan:

Lawyers have boycotted courts across Pakistan in protest at President Musharraf’s suspension of the country’s top judge for alleged misuse of office.In Lahore, more than 20 lawyers were injured in clashes with police. Hundreds of lawyers wearing black suits rallied in other cities.

Colin Samuels writes, “I’ve not seen anything like this since an ill-advised practical skills session at a police brutality law CLE.”

Comment on Dean’s World, where I cross-posted this.

Posted in Lex scripta, Orient | Leave a Comment »

March maddeningness

Posted by Ron Coleman on March 19, 2007

I like sports. I don’t love sports. I’m not obsessed with sports. But I like sports, and I like sports talk radio, too. I long ago gave up on political talk radio, which is mostly very stupid. But sports talk radio, while stupid, is not about the fate of the earth. I like the personalities who do sports talk, except when they talk about things like movies or, God forbid, politics. (There is one guy on ESPN — Max Kellerman — who really should keep his half-baked politics to himself.) I even like Keith Olbermann on ESPN radio. I mentioned this to Bob Cox, who said, of course — he’s talking about something he understands.

But I hate sports talk radio in March.

Oh, the obsession with the “brackets,” the “seeds,” the “pairings” — sounds like a farm, no? Oh, the single-minded dumbellness of it. Hey, we have Bob Wobb, right here “in studio” with us, he’s the coach of Southern West Nevada A&M State! Great, great.

Tell me when it’s over. With all the diffusion in media today, can’t we have a sports talk station that sticks to something important, like whether Alex Rodriguez and Derek Jeter still text-message each other or the decrease in the rate of expansion of Barry Bonds’s hat size, even during the NCAA tournament? It makes me want to hear more about golf. Anything would be better than this torture.

Just not the NHL.

Posted in Americana, Medialites | Leave a Comment »

Resilience watch, done defiantly

Posted by Ron Coleman on March 19, 2007

Insty points to Jules Crittenden, who writes:

The AP’s Stephen R. Hurst proclaims the resilience of Sunni insurgents!

BAGHDAD (AP) – Sunni insurgents, resilient despite the five-week security crackdown in the capital, killed at least six more American troops over the weekend. A Sunni car bomber hit a largely Shiite district in the capital Sunday, killing at least eight people.

I’m getting a warm and fuzzy Pravda kind of feel off that, the ”resilience.” Stalwart insurgents resiliently marching forward! You have to troll the North Korean web to find that kind of thing these days!

I have one thing to add. One key word that Jules forgot to focus on when writing about this kind of writing:

DEFIANT!

You always know the bad guys are losing when the opposition press starts describing them as defiant. Arafat was always defiant. Castro? Señor Desafiante. Not only losers — Iran is always defiant. The little genocidal mullahs that could. As long as they’re on the other side, they’re defiant or, as we see, frequently resilient.

By and large, though, the more defiant they get, the better we’re doing. Even if they’re about to blow their own brains out. Just do tell me when you read an MSM account of meek submission, pathetic surrender or broken acknowledgment of defeat by any enemy of the United States or its allies.

Posted in Medialites, Orient, Stragety | 7 Comments »

The Golden Rule

Posted by Ron Coleman on March 18, 2007

Upper East Side“The best way to make sure that the defamatory or scurrilous or offensive content that brought you to my office is repeated and gets as much attention as possible is to file a lawsuit about it.”

UPDATE: And then some!

Posted in Americana, Lex scripta | Leave a Comment »

Pay Per Post — is it all about quality?

Posted by Ron Coleman on March 17, 2007

Jason Calacanis, writing in the context of tech blogging, rejects the view that Pay Per Post is a “necessary evil” for those who can’t hope to attract ad dollars to their blogs because they believe there’s no longer opportunity to break through to the “A-List” of bloggers:

The PayPerIdiots are trying to make their DECEPTIVE service into a class war–so, so obvious guys. There is a reason why you guys came up with such a dumb service, and your arguments prove exactly how unintelligent you are. It’s ***not*** a class war, it’s an ***integrity*** war. If you want to have no integrity do covert marketing with PayPerPost, if you want to have integrity don’t–but let’s not make this about the “haves and have nots”–that’s just dumb.

I don’t agree (and I’m not alone).  There are two things here:  Whether there is an “A-List,” and whether Pay Per Post is an answer to those who despair of ever joining it.

I do think Calacanis is right that quality ultimately will tell, in terms of the Pay Per Post issue.  I explain that more below.  But I think it’s naive to say there are not existing cliques in the blogosphere who hold the keys to success, and that there are a lot of established players who aren’t all that good or all that consistent. This is to be expected in any medium as it matures.

And as to pay-per-post, well, I wrote this in the New Jersey Law Journal earlier this year. It’s a little clunky because it was not written on a blog (I’ve added a couple of links, but couldn’t link in the column) and because it’s for a non-blog-savvy audience:

Op-ed
Hands Off Blogs
Mandatory disclosure of payment to bloggers runs counter to free expression


New Jersey Law Journal
January 26, 2007

No one is free from bias of some sort or another, especially people who spend their time (paid or otherwise) writing opinions – whether in daily newspaper columns, legal newspapers or blogs, the newest, most exciting and most democratic medium of expression in the real and virtual worlds.

Opinion writers are understood by axiom to have an opinion; and it is just as axiomatic that opinions can be “negotiable” in all sorts of ways, overt and subtle.

Yet in the emerging world of blog publishing, there is a troubling trend toward mandatory disclosure of one kind of bias – the kind directly attributable to payment of material compensation to a blogger addressed specifically in a Dec.7 Federal Trade Commission informal opinion involving a company called PayPerPost Inc. – that is misguided, contrary to free speech principles and a threat to the growth of a dynamic economic and cultural phenomenon.

Almost two years ago, the blogosphere – the community, or group of communities, of ardent blog writers, commentators and readers – hiccupped with the discovery that a top liberal blogger, Markos Moulitsas Zúniga, of the DailyKos.com blog, a vocal supporter of the Howard Dean campaign during the 2004 election, had been a paid consultant to Dean. The blogosphere erupted with that characteristically exaggerated self-importance bloggers love to show in a debate over whether, how and what had been disclosed. Read the rest of this entry »

Posted in Blogophilia, Gelt | 1 Comment »