Likelihood of Success

Ron Coleman’s pretty good blog

With happy like that…

Posted by Ron Coleman on September 29, 2008

… we don’t need terrified.  Why is Glenn Reynolds writing this?

SO WHICH WILL TURN OUT TO BE A BIGGER DEAL IN THE LONG TERM? China’s first space walk, or SpaceX’s successful commercial launch test? I’m guessing number two, but I’m happy for both of ’em.

Since when is Instapundit soft on China?  I know they’re running out of places to put people… to pollute… to poison… and to sell weapons to, Glenn, but I’m not giddy or even pleasantly content to seem them getting the hang of outer space.

On the other hand, if they’re already going up there, maybe they can come around to admitting Neil Armstrong’s moon walk was for real?

Posted in Scientificus, Stragety | Leave a Comment »

It is inscribed

Posted by Ron Coleman on September 29, 2008

Rosh Hashana -- Arthur Szyk

Rosh Hashana -- Arthur Szyk

At the end of the year, Jews deliver an annual report to their Majority Shareholder and pray and hope to have their respective contracts extended — and even for an increase in compensation for a job well done. That is Rosh Hashana, which means the Head of the New Year, and which begins tonight.

The surprising, and very not-American, thing we learn about Rosh Hashana is that it is at its heart an expression of our own acknowledgment of God’s status as the Boss. At other times of year we focus on other aspects of our relationship with God, but at Rosh Hashana it is Kingship that rules.

Independence is so highly valued in our society that some people think that independence is the only virtue, which is really a sort of arrested adolescence, but one much celebrated in our time and place. Thus it’s not surprising that religions based on hierarchies of spiritual authority — scriptural, ethical, behavioral, pastoral — must fight uphill to survive. Maintaining a feisty, free-enterprising, yeoman spirit in the profane stations of life while acknowledging spiritual, and essentially governing, principles that appear to be inconsistent with Yankee virtues is one of the challenges to all religious people in America. I don’t claim to know how to do it, but identifying the challenge, at least, is a step in the direction of addressing it.

If we could ever actually acknowledge that God is the Ruler of our lives — really, as really as we acknowledge the existence of the computer you’re reading this on, of the sky above us, of your left hand — we would never do anything wrong (i.e., sin), and never feel any fear (also a kind of transgression). That’s a tall order, and ironic for how, in its apparent simplicity, achieving would be a giant feat for anyone. Its apotheosis is the answer of great people of faith to what many people believe is an unanswerable query to God: How can tragedy (such as of the scope that has happened in our lives or the lives of our parents) be allowed to persist? The answer: “For the unbeliever there is no answer. For the believer” — believing, as I said, in the very reality of God’s rule over everything, not merely the ideological adoption of it — “there is no question.”

I didn’t say it was easy. But hopefully one’s progress report will report, at least… some progress.

If you’re curious, you can learn the fundamentals of Rosh Hashana here. You may want to look at this excerpt from Rabbi Shimon Apisdorf’s Rosh Hashana Survival Kit, a classic in its own right.

And remember, Rosh Hashana is, as the liturgy teaches, the “birthday of the whole world,” not just a special date for the Jews. So happy birthday, world, and may we all be blessed for a year far better than the one that just ended.

Originally posted on Dean’s World, Rosh Hashana 2006.

Posted in Faith and Works, Heart and spirit | 1 Comment »

The eve of judgment

Posted by Ron Coleman on September 28, 2008

Monday night begins Rosh Hashana. It must be mentioned, it must be addressed, it must be reckoned
with, no matter how ecumenical a blog I want to have.

Recipient

Recipient

It has been an extraordinarily eventful year for me on many, many planes, overwhelmingly in ways for which I am very grateful to God.  Gratitude is the alpha of service of God, and of self-fulfillment, too — two endeavors that, to the thoughtless, appear to be opposite, but which are in fact one.  From my point of view, neither is achieved fully without the other.

I say “from my point of view” even though my cousin Debbie, the writer, taught me many years ago that when you write something you need not say such a thing, because of course it is your point of view.  You wrote it.  But I say it so as not to offend my many friends who read here and who disagree and are, by habit, less offended if a proposition is put forth in a manner that sounds less absolute.  It is a form of apology, and of course we know just how apologetic your blogger is at any time!

More of my point of view is my reiteration that when speaking of “gratitude,” God is the Whom to which gratitude must be directed, which is not to say that gratitude toward other individuals for their specific kindnesses is not also appropriate.  But “I’m grateful” without an object — this makes no sense. (I once blogged about this somewhere and, well… I can’t find it. A lot of that going around lately. — here it is!)  I have never understood people expressing free-floating generic “gratitude” directed at … nothing. I do not consider it to be any more logical to say, “It is directed at the Universe,” which is essentially the same exact thing.  I believe that people who express “gratitude” without acknowledging the source of the benefit to which they claim to be grateful, are saying words, but not, really, expressing gratitude.  Gratitude must have an object because it is an acknowledgment of need, or lack, fulfilled by another.

But I am not here to fight, not today.  Forgive the digression — there, apologies again!  Well, regret is part of Rosh Hashana, too.

Round and round

Round and round

And I for one am grateful, grateful to God, for a year that has been very good to me, and to many of the people I care about the most.  Much progress, some of it incremental, but progress all the same.

I am grateful to have reached a point where I can perceive and appreciate incremental progress, too.

I am grateful to be able to interact with so many fine, deep, multifaceted people whose intentions are good.

I am grateful for middle age.  I was born to be middle aged and now I am home.  I hope I get to stay here for a long time!

I am grateful for life, for perspective, for wisdom, judgment, the ability to give, the powers that I have, for the judges who are starting to listen and the clients who do their best to pay.

I am grateful for the things that ought not be written, but should be said.

Grateful… step one.  It is the first step, and while we must go beyond it, gratitude is the step that is never completed.

Thank you.

Posted in Faith and Works, Heart and spirit | 4 Comments »

Top this

Posted by Ron Coleman on September 28, 2008

Glenn Reynolds didn’t love the McCain performance at the debate, but finds folks who think the old man did great. His conclusion:

You should never trust my judgment of these things, as I remember thinking that Carter won the Carter-Reagan debates. But Obama clearly won the post-debate spin, anyway.

Well, is there anything — anything? — that McCain, or Obama, could have done that could possibly have resulted in Obama not winning the post-debate spin?

I can just see it…. [make-believe quotes follow]:

The Associated Press:

Obama’s decision not only to engage in the debate while intoxicated, but to bring a paper bag with a brown glass beer-bottle neck clearly extending from the top to the podium, is being hailed by analysts as a paradigm-shifting tack that exemplified Obama’s “change” and “youth” themes and left McCain on the canvas from the early going.  “McCain looked old and disoriented — his shock at Obama’s brilliant ‘blitz campaign’ move just reinforced his image as out of touch and doomed to ignominious defeat,” said Chris Matthews.

The New York Times:

Ironically, analysts agreed that the fact that McCain was able to demonstrate a detailed understanding of the Pentagon weapon-systems accession process while enunciating his plan for a theater-by-theater reshuffling of tactical and strategic priorities in tandem with an analysis of the macroeconomic effect of military budget reform over a 14-year period put him at a huge disadvantage compared to his young, radiant adversary.  “Obama went to Harvard Law School and turned down the post of Secretary of General of the United Federation of Planets to do community work with nuns and orphans,” said Chuck Todd.  “He healed my dandruff just by gazing at a JPEG of my dog!”

MSNBC:

Eighty-two percent of those responding to a telephone poll following the debate agreed with the statement, “Barack Obama’s reading answers off a cheat sheet written on the inside of his left lapel demonstrates that he has more in common with today’s youth than that old buzzard John McCain.”  This is hardly surprising, as our Keith Olbermann said in his broadcast last night:  “McCain’s experience is a handicap, really, because he only spent six or so of his years in the Senate doing what matters:  opposing President Bush.  That’s about the same as Obama, but with one big difference:  Obama is the Word incarnate, and McCain is just a guy who couldn’t avoid getting shot out of the sky by a bunch of guys in black pajamas.”

Um, get my point?

Posted in Medialites, Politics and Poker | 3 Comments »

Key question

Posted by Ron Coleman on September 25, 2008

Why do office buildings in New York still require keys for the men’s room?

I remember the time when you could just stroll into a major skyscraper without presenting identification, being on a log of expected guests or otherwise passing through security. It wasn’t that long ago. But I certainly can understand why, under such circumstances, it made a lot of sense to lock up the bathrooms. You don’t want creeps making their homes in their, or even facilitating themselves in the facilities.

But now you don’t get into any kind of building in Manhattan without a pretty substantial speed bump. Why should using the men’s room require an additional level of heightened security, once you’ve navigated the first one?

Posted in Oppression | 4 Comments »

Gazoo — who knew?

Posted by Ron Coleman on September 24, 2008

Dum dum!

Dum dum!

Looking for an image of The Great Gazoo for this post at LIKELIHOOD OF CONFUSION®, I quickly found and linked to this one at Wikipedia.  My post had, really, nothing to do with Gazoo, but because that post — about Carolyn Elefant‘s new e-book entitled Social Networking For Lawyers — alluded to the “books for dummies” concept, well, obviously who appeared to me but the little guy himself?

So I took a second I don’t have to read the first paragraph of the article, and I saw … this:

The Great Gazoo is voiced by Harvey Korman.

I did not know this!

Did everyone know this but me?

But of course!  Of course that’s Harvey Korman!

Thats Headley, not Heddy!

That's Hedley, not Heddy!

I… I have a soft spot for Harvey Korman.  I blogged about this somewhere when he died, but I can’t find where.  (Did I just imagine it?)  There was something about the fact that he really was, as a comic actor, just a notch above, well, mediocre.  Maybe I feel that if I had pursued an acting career, that’s what I would have actually come across as, not the comic genius I really thought I was, so identified with him.  Well, yeah, Harvey Korman was successful, as these things go, but always as a second banana, and he just wasn’t ever really very good.

But in fact he was delicious.

He was so, so Gazoo!  And both of them seemed, really, across the small screen to me at least, to really be good, good guys deep inside.

Dum-dum!

Posted in Ars Longa, Heart and spirit, Jocularity | Leave a Comment »

Blogging for non-bloggers…

Posted by Ron Coleman on September 23, 2008

… is not blogging.  As B.L. Ochman explains:

With alarming regularity, most recently yesterday, I get inquiries from companies who want me to create a blog for them – usually for the CEO. And nine out of ten times, I talk them out of it.

Read this.

Posted in Blogophilia | Leave a Comment »

The roar of silence

Posted by Ron Coleman on September 23, 2008

Reuters almost seems sympathetic — yeah, we know how it can be! — about the glitches the slowed down the rollout of the annual al Qaeda video festival of mayhem:

The delay of the much-touted 87-minute video, caused in part by the main Islamist websites

Weekend at Osamas

Weekend at Osama's

crashing, has thwarted al Qaeda’s yearly celebration of its attacks on U.S. cities in 2001.

Parts of the video — a compilation of documentary footage and messages by al Qaeda leaders — were aired on September 8 by Al Jazeera television, which did not say how it obtained it.

But the full version hit websites on Friday, eight days after the anniversary.

On it, senior al Qaeda commander Mustafa Abu al-Yazid vowed that Western forces in Afghanistan would face “more large-scale attacks … where they least expect it” and called for militants in Pakistan to step up their fight. . . .

Al Qaeda has marked the anniversary of September 11 in the past with releases including a tape on September 7 last year in which its leader, Osama bin Laden, appeared on video for the first time in nearly three years, addressing the American people.

Yeah, sure he did.  Isn’t the absence of the late mass murderer from the video a journalistically interesting question at all?

Posted in Medialites | Leave a Comment »

Free speech swings both ways

Posted by Ron Coleman on September 22, 2008

At LIKELIHOOD OF CONFUSION® I ask the constitutional question about a change in Google’s keyword advertising policy:

[I]s this is victory for free speech, because a controversial key word is available to all sides that have something to say about an issue? Or is it a diminution of Google’s free speech rights because, on the threat of government coercion (i.e., a lawsuit), it has to make its platform available to messages of which it does not approve?

Posted in Lex scripta, Oppression | Leave a Comment »

Terror is as terror does

Posted by Ron Coleman on September 19, 2008

Don’t make me do this!: The North Koreans say they’re going to rev up their nuclear reactor because the United States hasn’t moved fast enough for its totalitarian taste on a disarmament-for-aid agreement:

It is the first time the communist nation has confirmed a reversal of steps taken since last year to disable its nuclear program because of Washington’s refusal to quickly remove it from a U.S. terrorism blacklist.

And no wonder, either, seeing as how the North Korean government is, here, demonstrating that it is indeed terroristic.  Is there a more precise example of terrorism than this?  “Give us what we want when we want it or we’ll do dangerous things.”

Maybe they will have their reactor cooking in time for that famous North Korean winter.  Can’t eat anything a reactor makes, though.

Posted in Past is prologue, Politics and Poker, Sisyphus, Stragety | 1 Comment »