Likelihood of Success

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Archive for the ‘Packing heat’ Category

Best of 2009: “No takers”

Posted by Ron Coleman on December 27, 2009

This was first posted on February 20, 2009.  It is clearly the most popular post I ever wrote here, but probably not for the reasons I might have wanted a post to be.  But, hey, traffic is traffic, right?

Popehat on the F-15‘s hoary origins:f15_15

Our air supremacy is built on the same tech level of the 8-track tape, and succeeds because no one will fly against it.

Not only won’t they fly against it — Saddam hid his MIG’s under the sand just at the thought of tangling with the F-15.

Worth remembering.

UPDATE:

Я не читаю, или я говорю на русском языке. Таким образом я удаляю все российские комментарии как спам. Это не является личным, но если Вы комментируете на русском языке, предположения, здесь – против Вас: Если Вы можете прочитать быстро через мой blog, Вы можете прокомментировать на английском языке!

Comments at the original post.

Posted in Best of the Blog, Nuvo-Techno, Packing heat | Leave a Comment »

Good Point

Posted by Ron Coleman on August 12, 2009

Forbes ranks West Point as nation’s top college (via Insty):

A report released Wednesday by Forbes magazine ranked the U.S. Military Academy as the top college in the country in their America’s Best College review. “Marked by an intense work ethic and drive to succeed on all fronts, the West Point undergraduate experience also allows graduates to leave without a penny of tuition loans to repay,” Forbes stated in its release.

World War II Memorial -- Washington, DC

World War II Memorial -- Washington, DC

Yeah.  You know, I’m on vacation this week — hence the lack of blogging, if you noticed — and I’m in Washington, where it’s hot and humid but priced perfectly for a family vacation.  And at the Smithsonian Air and Space Museum today we saw an IMAX film about the Air Force’s real-life “Top Gun” training and simulation program, Red Flag.

And, wow.

The flick is propaganda all the way, but, guess what, so are all films.  But coming away from this, and having attended a number of highly-ranked educational institutions myself, I said to myself and a significant other, my, these guys — the U.S. military as a whole, notwithstanding sad notable exceptions– are the most competent people in the country, aren’t they?

I know.  So many awful things do get done wrong by the military, it seems.  It’s so easy to second guess them, though, given the scope of what they’re tasked with.  But if you sensibly weigh the things they do right with proper consideration of the risks of doing it wrong, both locally and globally, extraordinary mastery of multiple arts and scientists required to execute their tasks, the discipline and focus, and —

Then there’s this.

The members of the military essentially do everything that is physically and technological possible in the pursuit of their missions.  You and I look at, say, the way you would go about rescuing a downed pilot and say, well, if you could rappel down a rope and, uh, I guess…. oh never mind.

They rappel down the rope.  They fly upside down.  Anything a human can do, they find people brave enough and dedicated enough to go out there and DO.

For YOU.

How many Ivy Leaguers does that describe?

Posted in Americana, Heart and spirit, Packing heat | 1 Comment »

The shoot ’em up capital

Posted by Ron Coleman on July 19, 2009

Charles-Bronson---Death-Wish-PhotographA year after the Supreme Court told the Washington, DC city counsel that, yes, the Second Amendment does apply to the District of Columbia, it’s exactly as the Brady Bunch has predicted — with pretty much everyone packing heat, it’s now a wide-open, Wild West firing range where you have to run, squatting, from your car to the lobby of the building you’re going into just to avoid the ricocheting ordnance.

Or not.

Posted in Lex scripta, Metropolis, Packing heat | Leave a Comment »

Tote boards don’t cut it

Posted by Ron Coleman on June 2, 2009

In what I suppose amounts to an endorsement by LIKELIHOOD OF CONFUSION® of the Sotomayor nomination from the point of view of her strong intellectual property background, I made a side point decrying what we might call the “tote board” approach to reckoning a judge’s inclinations on given issues.  That’s where we pile up all her published opinions, see how many went “one way” and how many went “the other way,” and declare that the nominee is “pro-gun” or “pro-government” without regard to the facts of those cases, the nature of the appellate or litigation docket that generated those opportunities to write the opinions, or even the ratio decidendi of the opinions themselves, which will be in some unknown percentage utterly unrelated to the issue being “tagged.”  It’s the logical fallacy of the confusion between cause and effect, or perhaps of the “questionable cause,” I suppose.

Thus, in my post, in which I pretend to start parsing out “pro-trademark-owner decisions” versus “pro-infringement-defendant decisions,” I immediately hit PRL USA Holdings v. U.S. Polo Ass’n, Inc., reported on here. That decision by a Second Circuit panel including Judge Sotomayor was “pro-defendant” in outcome, but obviously had nothing really to do with trademark:  The appeal really was about a point in connection with the Federal Rules of Evidence, not trademark at all.

It is true that some judges go where they want to go in certain kinds of cases regardless of what is really happening in a case, and without a care as to what issues are really before them — but these judges are merely robed criminals, patent abusers of their office and their oaths.  It is not as if many such jurists have not achieved high office, but no one seriously suggests that Judge Sotomayor is one of that type.

Now Ann Althouse presents us with a classic example of the “surprising decision” phenomenon, in connection with what unsophisticated observers will utterly not understand.  It relates to a Seventh Circuit decision, published today, holding that the Second Amendment to the Constitution is not incorporated into the Fourteenth Amendment — a potentially devastating development for gun ownership advocates.  Here’s Ann:

A unanimous 7th Circuit panel, consisting of Easterbrook, Bauer, and Posner, adhering to Supreme Court precedent, says that the 2d Amendment is not incorporated in the 14th Amendment and thus does not apply to the states. Easterbrook’s opinion (PDF) — emphasizes federalism — the value of decentralized decisionmaking on the subject of gun rights . . .

The panel adheres to Supreme Court precedent, but it also lays out the federalism argument in clear bold terms for future consumption by the Supreme Court. . .

See how this helps the Sotomayor nomination?

Sotomayor was labeled “anti-gun” by Gun Owners of America for refusing to extend to the states the U.S. Supreme Court’s 2008 decision overturning a Washington, D.C., handgun ban. The group said a January ruling by a three-judge panel that included Sotomayor displayed “pure judicial arrogance” for declining to throw out a New York state weapons law.

Very cool. You don’t love the law? Then you don’t get it!

Posted in Lex scripta, Medialites, Packing heat | Leave a Comment »

Why we fight.

Posted by Ron Coleman on May 25, 2009

The greatest ever Memorial Day words were uttered not on the eve of summer, but in November:

Four score and seven years ago our fathers brought forth on this continent, a new nation, conceived in Liberty, and dedicated to the proposition that all men are created equal.

Now we are engaged in a great civil war, testing whether that nation, or any nation so conceived and so dedicated, can long endure. We are met on a great battle-field of that war. We have come to dedicate a portion of that field, as a final resting place for those who here gave their lives that that nation might live. It is altogether fitting and proper that we should do this.

But, in a larger sense, we can not dedicate — we can not consecrate — we can not hallow — this ground. The brave men, living and dead, who struggled here, have consecrated it, far above our poor power to add or detract. The world will little note, nor long remember what we say here, but it can never forget what they did here. It is for us the living, rather, to be dedicated here to the unfinished work which they who fought here have thus far so nobly advanced. It is rather for us to be here dedicated to the great task remaining before us — that from these honored dead we take increased devotion to that cause for which they gave the last full measure of devotion — that we here highly resolve that these dead shall not have died in vain — that this nation, under God, shall have a new birth of freedom — and that government of the people, by the people, for the people, shall not perish from the earth.

(Originally posted on Memorial Day 2007.)

UPDATE:

Я не читаю или говорю на русском языке. Таким образом я удаляю все российские комментарии как спам. Ничто персонал, но предположение не против Вас.

Если Вы можете прочитать мой blog, Вы можете прокомментировать на английском языке!

Posted in Americana, Heart and spirit, Packing heat | 1 Comment »

Mass persuasion prevented?

Posted by Ron Coleman on May 6, 2009

Instapundit reports about a college student who shot and killed a home invader evidently bent on major mayhem.  It’s a chlling story, with a relatively happy ending, and certainly reminded me of an earlier post where I criticized Glenn Reynolds for prescribing that collegians pack heat on campus.  I wasn’t disagreeing with his policy, necessarily, merely his analysis there.  I got slaughtered in the comments, but I still had my doubts on the ponit.

I was about to throw in the towel on this until I took a close look at the story.  Something seemed wrong.  And it is, a little:  From what I can tell, these were college students.  But they weren’t “in college,” i.e., on campus — the incident, which was truly awful and would have been far worse but for the fact that one of the students was able to save the day with his own weapon, appears to have taken place in an off campus apartment.  It’s not exactly clear, but that’s how it reads to me.

So when Glenn says, “Clayton Cramer comments: ‘If you have any doubt as to whether keeping colleges gun-free zones makes sense, I think this answers the question,'” I really have no idea what either of them are talking about.  Do you?

Posted in Packing heat | 3 Comments »

Good morning!

Posted by Ron Coleman on February 22, 2009

Craig Karpel:

Iran’s satellite launch earlier this month should have been a wake-up call. Instead, the West has reached over and hit the snooze button.

We’d rather think we were only dreaming.

Posted in Orient, Packing heat, Stragety | Leave a Comment »

No takers

Posted by Ron Coleman on February 20, 2009

Popehat on the F-15‘s hoary origins:f15_15

Our air supremacy is built on the same tech level of the 8-track tape, and succeeds because no one will fly against it.

Not only won’t they fly against it — Saddam hid his MIG’s under the sand just at the thought of tangling with the F-15.

Worth remembering.

UPDATE:

Я не читаю, или я говорю на русском языке. Таким образом я удаляю все российские комментарии как спам. Это не является личным, но если Вы комментируете на русском языке, предположения, здесь – против Вас: Если Вы можете прочитать быстро через мой blog, Вы можете прокомментировать на английском языке!

Posted in Nuvo-Techno, Packing heat | 11 Comments »

How it’s done

Posted by Ron Coleman on January 12, 2009

This you have to like — remarks to reporters from an  an Israeli battalion commander in Gaza:

“A couple of days ago, an armed squad popped up from a tunnel that was concealed by a nearby building. We took them out with tank fire and a bulldozer,” he said.

In another incident, the commander said, his men spotted a suicide bomber on a bicycle.

“He ran off to take cover in a building, presumably to draw us in,” Yehuda said. “We demolished the building on top of him with a bulldozer.”

Sounds like a plan.

Posted in Orient, Packing heat, Stragety | Leave a Comment »

Everything we know is wrong?

Posted by Ron Coleman on November 29, 2008

Instapundit:

JOHN THOMPSON: The Mumbai attacks represent a scenario that few Western police and security forces have dared envision. Fewer still have prepared for it.

The basic strategy: use a large number of attackers to overwhelm a target city’s ability to respond, and then suddenly switch focus to high value targets and seize hostages.

I guess Glenn Reynolds would call that An Army of Davids.  Why are we surprised that such a strategy can be a force for evil as well as for good?

A partial response, actually, is the big and rather eye-opening discussion Glenn’s having on the topic of ubiquitous gun ownership / carrying at that first link, especially as juxtaposed with the depressing story he links to later:  Indian police refused to shoot back, evidently being poorly trained for situations requiring … what you’d want police with guns, in a democracy, to do.

But the bigger response to Thompson’s point is this:  We will always have a problem of terrorists’ originality.  Their 9/11 strategy worked all right:  Once.  It will never work again, now that I can’t take a nail clipper onto an airplane.  Granted, this sounds like a hairier one to combat, but it’s not surprising that Western police and security forces haven’t thought of every possible tactical approach that these Davids — and, really, terrorism is all about being a David; all about using focused and conceptually distinct force to knock out a Goliath who could never be overcome by brute force — will cook up.  Frankly they’re more motivated toward originality, and they’re, well, more wicked.

They’ll always have one up on us if we, Goliath-like, think we have to guess everything they might do in advance.  The only way to turn this formula on its head (not to say that more and better security, training and planning isn’t called for) is to better manage the way we allow terrorism to affect policy — to make these “stunning victories,” if not less stunning, less victorious.  The pre-9/11 message to terrorists such as the PLO (and the one Israel is still sending, unfortunately) was bloody our nose enough times and, okay, we’ll honor you at the UN, give you a Nobel prize, provide you with your own provisional government to loot and we’ll arm you, too.  It’s going to be a long time until that is unlearned.

Posted in Packing heat, Stragety | 2 Comments »