Likelihood of Success

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Archive for the ‘Past is prologue’ Category

Oh, yeah… him

Posted by Ron Coleman on April 26, 2009

Last fall I reluctantly supported John McCain for President.  I wasn’t even sure why at the time, and could mostly focus on why I thought Barack Obama was not up to the task.  But shame on me — there was a reason, and it’s the same issue that made me realize I am a conservative in the first instance.  And the inexcusable Obama “policy” on “torture” — which is merely a political hiccup, a gesture to the left, a classic instance of liberal symbolism as government, that just happens threatens to undermine the ultimate safety and freedom of every one of us — reminds me of it now.

Here comes a long excerpt, but worth it.  Here’s the crux of the matter from last October’s issue of  The Atlantic, and we pick up the article at the end, where Jeffrey Goldberg is discussing McCain with Henry Kissinger:

I pointed out that McCain has changed many of his positions during his candidacy in order, it seems, to better conform to Republican orthodoxy. Kissinger replied: “Under the pressure of a presidential campaign, it’s possible that he will make adjustments. He may deviate from his positions, but he will not like himself for it.”

In my conversations with McCain, however, he never appeared greatly troubled by his shifts and reversals. It’s not difficult to understand why: tax policy, or health care, or even off-shore oil drilling are for him all matters of mere politics, and politics calls for ideological plasticity. It is only in the realm of national defense, and of American honor—two notions that for McCain are thoroughly entwined—that he becomes truly unbending.

Kissinger learned this at their first meeting. “When I was in Vietnam for negotiations on implementing the Paris Agreement, the North Vietnamese prime minister had a dinner—I was leaving the next day—and he said if I wanted to take McCain on my flight, it could be arranged,” he said. “I told him that I won’t take McCain or anyone else on my plane. The prisoner release would have to happen on a schedule previously agreed. Somehow McCain heard about this and months later, at the White House reception for returned prisoners, he said to me, ‘I want to thank you for saving my honor.’ What McCain did not tell me at that time was that he had refused to be released two years earlier unless all were released with him. It was better for him to remain in jail in order to preserve his honor and American honor than to come home on my plane.”

For McCain, the doctrine of preemption clearly falls outside the realm of mere politics, as does the need to “win,” rather than “end,” wars; the safety of America demands that they be fought, and honor demands that they be won.

McCain’s father, Kissinger said, saw the world the same way McCain sees it. “He was a military man, not a diplomat. Both men grasp the notion of consequences.

Consequences.  They are the reason the buck stops in the Oval Office.

The consequences of this lashing out at the previous regime, this post-Vietnamesque attempt to exorcise the hated, manly self, are not going to be “respect for the law” and widespread international warming toward America.  It will, to the contrary, give aid and comfort to those most contemptuous of law, and of our country, and most readily prepared to make every possible effort to destroy both.

That’s it, isn’t it?  Democrats really don’t seem to think about consequences, or at least to weigh them compared to gesture, self-regard and a need to please.

How many chances will we get to escape the consequences of a policy of vanity this time?

Cross-posted on Right-Wing News.

Posted in Narcissus Rex, Oppression, Past is prologue, Sisyphus, Stragety | 1 Comment »

Here comes the sun

Posted by Ron Coleman on April 7, 2009

That’s where the fun is:

The brightest object in the sky will get some religious attention on Wednesday — for the first time since 1981 — when Jews recite Birkat Hachamah, the Blessing of the Sun.

The rare ceremony will mark the time that the Talmud says the sun returns to the spot in the sky where it was created — which happens once every 28 years. In response, groups of Jews will thank “the king of the universe, who re-enacts the work of creation.”

Passaic sunrise.jpg

Amen!

We’ll be up before the crack of dawn around here so we can make this rare blessing — we hope — at the earliest possible moment.  There was some talk earlier on of a consistently cloudy day, but with God’s help it’s looking, well, as if overall the day will be quite a bit sunnier.

Posted in Heart and spirit, Past is prologue, Scientificus | Leave a Comment »

Turnabout is fair play

Posted by Ron Coleman on March 10, 2009

Today is the Jewish holiday of Purim. (Unlike the biblically-based Jewish holidays, this is one, like Chanuka, during which I’m allowed to blog!)

As well explained in the Book of Esther, it’s the holiday of turnabout, surprises, false identities, intrigue, perhaps some emotional legerdemain, and not a little spiritual confusion. The outcome isn’t always funny, or even fun, except perhaps in the sense of the divine comedy.

It all comes around in the end, though!

Posted in Faith and Works, Past is prologue | 1 Comment »

The coronation

Posted by Ron Coleman on February 24, 2009

That’s right:  We’re coronating the hitherto unknown M.A. Lamascoloas as i-knight-theepundit king for this gem sent to Glenn Reynolds in response to Insty’s observation that, gee, whaddya know, Chris Matthews is having his doubts about the Black JFK — about six months too late:

Matthews has himself to blame. I want Obama to succeed. I want our country to succeed. I disagree with 85% of Obama’s positions, but I want him and our country to succeed. He can’t do that if he hasn’t been tested. One of the best tests is a campaign. But he didn’t have one of those, he had a coronation. Matthews and his colleagues across the media let our country down. They gave Obama no vetting whatsoever. Now Matthews wants to complain? It’s a little late for that.

How knavish to say such a thing!  Of royalty you have no share; you are no knight, nor gentleman nor decent commoner.

Off with your head, M.A.!

Posted in Medialites, Narcissus Rex, Past is prologue, Politics and Poker | 2 Comments »

Topical depression

Posted by Ron Coleman on February 20, 2009

Eric Rall has a very thoughtful and well written piece on Dean’s World about what economic depressions really have been, can be, and how — maybe — they do and don’t come to an end.

It would be a good thing to read if your economic history is anywhere as weak as the vast majority of people in, uh, politics, economics and journalism.

Posted in Gelt, Past is prologue | 2 Comments »

In a strange land

Posted by Ron Coleman on February 19, 2009

David Kelsey explains how out of synch the mainstream Jewish organizational elite is from any conception of what is really in America’s best interests.

That’s all of America. Of which some people seem to forget they are part.

Posted in Faith and Works, Oppression, Past is prologue | Leave a Comment »

Von Clausewitz, calculation and perception

Posted by Ron Coleman on February 16, 2009

Zenpundit over at Chicago Boyz questions the assertion by von Clausewitz that the challenge of a comprehensible military reality has almost the same effect as the acceptance of that challenge and actual engagement.  This is because the playing out of that scenario in an adversary’s strategic calculus is little different than it being played out on the battlefield, except for the slight matter of the cost in blood and gold, and of course the chance that everyone is guessing wrong about the outcome.

Mark Safranski, the author of the post (he is Zenpundit), says von Clausewitz places too much stock in not only the quality of information about strategic reality — a surprising error considering the master’s own teaching regarding the fog of war — but the quality of, well, thinking:

Cultural differences, too, when civilizations are at war, create a cognitive “fog” for commanders. Alien value systems create a “noise” that interferes with the “signal” intended by the offer of engagement by one side to the another. They will not be calculated “right” because the shared understanding of war and the valuation of objectives is much more limited. The Iran-Iraq war dragged on as a Middle-Eastern version of WWI primarily because of the differences in worldview between the leadership of Saddam Hussein’s secular, Baathist, Sunni dominated, Arab, Iraq and the radical Shiism of Ayatollah Khomeini’s revolutionary, Persian, Iran. Two countries in the center of the same Muslim civilization! How much greater is the “fog” between Washington and the hills of Pushtunistan where al Qaida’s leaders reside?

This is not to say that Clausewitz’s principle of possible engagement does not exist under conditions of opacity, it just offers far less data to work with for the commander. The “unknown unknowns” predominate.

Indeed, can’t it be fairly argued that the great Prussian really was a victim here of his own cultural limitations?  Read the rest of this entry »

Posted in Homo sapiens, Past is prologue, Stragety | 8 Comments »

The witch is back

Posted by Ron Coleman on February 6, 2009

Every blogger who cares about free speech should add this to his sidebar (click it, it links):

rushscare-600x445

(Yeah, it should be “Do you know listen, or have ever listened,” but, you know.)

Posted in Oppression, Past is prologue | 1 Comment »

“War and Decision”

Posted by Ron Coleman on February 4, 2009

John Hawkins reviews Douglas Feith’s War and Decision at Right Wing News .  Two of my favorite bullet points:

  • The CIA comes across as frighteningly, almost unbelievably incompetent and petty, even though they often didn’t inform the people relying on their advice of how little they really had to base their opinions on.
  • The worst criticism, however, was reserved for the State Department in general and Colin Powell, in particular. In Feith’s view, Powell was an arrogant, passive aggressive, disloyal bureaucrat who never said that he opposed going to war, but dragged his feet at every opportunity and fought policy battles through leaks to the press.

Yoiks! Sounds like good reading.

I wonder if government is too dumb to handle stuff like policy and war.

Posted in Orient, Past is prologue, Politics and Poker, Stragety | 2 Comments »

Out of the closet, and still invisible

Posted by Ron Coleman on January 11, 2009

Rank antisemitism, of the “back into the ovens” variety, is now officially unremarkable in the streets of liberal Western democracies.

Give Glenn Reynolds credit:  Believe it or not, his running links to each publication of a column or blog item pointing out the gross Sturmer-ization of the world media about Israel — “It was the Zionists’ fault” and “The Oldest Hatred Lives” — make him almost unique among leading gentile commentators (UPDATE:  aha!!!) on this ugly reality.  Even then, Glenn links mainly to articles by people who either are obviously Jewish or have, well, Jewish names at least.

Well? Well?

Where on earth are all our non-Jewish friends from the Ivy League?  Where are those fellows we golf with so serenely in Westchester and Orange counties?  How about a word from that nice chap we have coffee with in the faculty lounge and has that gig on NPR?

I don’t mean evangelical Christians.  They’re good as gold on Israel, and on anti-semitism too.   Most politically conservative Christians are.  Jews can count on them for support at moments such as these.  Only Jews who are religiously insecure bristle at this friendship.

But right now, as thousands of anti-semites take to the streets — our streets — and so many among them express, without fear of any political or social consequence, the most virulent genocidal fantasies, where are those non-Jews who will show us why Israel is not right to curl up into a ball and say to itself and the world:   It’s true, no one else does care, there is no “Never Again,” there is only moral blackness and hate regarding the Jews, and for once and for all damn world opinion and let loose the real hell we still keep at bay?

It’s not a matter of agreeing with Israel’s policy.

It’s a matter of saying some ways of expressing disagreement are not acceptable here.

And that utilizing “those ways” — by invoking genocide favorably — tells us that opposition is not a matter of disagrement but of deep, vicious hatred?

Where are the fashionable non-Jewish voices who can always be counted on to condemn injustice, racism and genocide?

Where is the cream of the Democratic Party establishment, so gorged on Jewish liberal gelt, at this moment that so demands multicultural, multiracial condemnation?

Where is Obama?

UPDATE: It’s official: We’re there. Or, rather, we’re back. (Hat tip to Craig Karpel.)

Posted in Oppression, Past is prologue | 3 Comments »