Likelihood of Success

Ron Coleman’s pretty good blog

Archive for the ‘Politics and Poker’ Category

Monster mash

Posted by Ron Coleman on November 21, 2007

Roland Dodds:

If there is one thing about Ron Paul you should never doubt, it is his ability to pull in the conflicting and monstrous fringes within our political system.

He doesn’t mean that in a good way.

Posted in Americana, Politics and Poker | 2 Comments »

The stacked debate

Posted by Ron Coleman on November 17, 2007

The MSM giveth, and the MSM taketh away — they gaveth this one to Hillary, and the blogs — right and left — are screaming bloody murder!  Not only is Wolf (or perhaps, “Puppy”) Blitzer’s tender loving care raising eyebrows, but so is the utter preposterousness of having the post-debate analysis on CNN delivered by three people of whom two are former or present Clinton staffers — and, of course, not even mentioning it in the discussion.

But Noel Sheppard gets to the real heart of it:

Of course, the truly delicious hypocrisy is that these same folks haven’t in any way been angered by Carville, Gergen, or [Anderson] Cooper’s continual rants the past seven years against President Bush, members of his administration, and any politician with an “R” next to his or her name. Those opinions were certainly impartial, and by no means affected by any prior political affiliation.

Throw in George Stephanopoulos, even Patrick Buchanan — there are plenty of others presented to the public on the small screen as fair brokers but who have in fact been personally and professionally part of the political scene in active, i.e. non-journalistic, roles.  If any other field of endeavor had this much revolving-door logrolling going on as the mainstream media, the journos would be huffing and puffing with indignation.  At least give the New York Times credit on this one for calling out CNN — guess they’re sore they didn’t get into the game.

Fourth Estate indeed!

Posted in Medialites, Politics and Poker | 2 Comments »

One of the best 14 liveblogging lines of the night

Posted by Ron Coleman on November 15, 2007

Reason Magazine:

8:51: What 9/11 is to Rudy, “the Bush administration” (as in “it’s the Bush administration’s fault”) is to Hillary. It’s a safety blanket to drape over the base voters who don’t trust her.

Posted in Americana, Politics and Poker | 1 Comment »

Do you believe in magic?

Posted by Ron Coleman on November 15, 2007

Kaus on how Obama is arguing for his electability (link added by me):

Obama’s new wrinkle is the argument is that Bush is so unpopular he’s freed up a bunch of voters at the center for Dems to capture without triangulating. That may be true on universal health care coverage (where Obama’s plan arguably triangulates a bit more than Clinton’s plan). But I’m not sure where else it applies. At bottom, it still seems a variation of Shrumian populism, the idea that there are obvious answers to benefit the common man and the only thing standing in the way is some elite group or “corporate lobbyists in Washington”–as opposed to the non-populist position, which is that there are answers that benefit the common man but what’s standing in the way is usually a) the common man and b) poweful interest groups on the Democratic as well as Republican side. If our most difficult domestic problems (Social Security, health care cost control, poverty, civil rights, immigration) really did conform to the Populist model, they’d have been solved by now, by Democrats.

William Jennings BryantBut they will be, really soon. Why, just look at the Democratic Congress!

UPDATE: I took a closer look at the link I placed in the quote above for a definition of “Shrumiam populism.” It’s a very good article by Bill Clinton (and now Hillary Clinton) enabler Joe Klein, presaging the “Bob Shrum is the kiss of death in presidential elections” theme that was indeed proved true again in 2004. But being me, I liked this bit about John Edwards, because it’s a lot like what I’ve been saying all along:

The notion of economics as a zero-sum game—the people gain when the powerful lose; the people gain when they don’t have to compete against immigrants for work—is the mean-spirited fallacy at the heart of modern populism. This message is not only a proven loser but also the intellectual opposite of the expansive, inclusive, “rising tide” public activism that moved a generation of Americans, including Bob Shrum, to get involved in politics in the first place. The next John or Robert Kennedy may be a forlorn liberal hope and—as presented by Shrum—a threadbare cliché, but the Kennedys were, at the very least, idealists who raised the nation’s spirit with inspirational words and deeds. And they never defended “the little people” for a third of the take.

That leaves the Democrats (one would like to think) with Senator Clinton, who is not having her best autumn ever.  Not by a long shot.

This just might turn out okay!

Posted in Americana, Politics and Poker | Leave a Comment »

Lamb chops

Posted by Ron Coleman on November 11, 2007

All the big bloggers are all over the politics of why the “what’s so funny ’bout peace, love and understanding” moving pictures are bleeding money. But for me, it’s about the art, see?

No, not the art of movies. I haven’t been in a movie theater in over a decade. No, I mean the art of murderous movie reviewing! For example, Dana Stevens reviewed “Lions for Lambs,” the latest anti-Iraq-war agitprop from Hollywood in Slate. Well of course I’m rooting against it — butLions for Lambs poster I root against just about every movie, not just because I think Hollywood is destroying this country and has become America’s calling card of moral decline around the globe. Nope — it’s because I love well written bomb reviews (yet another reason to mourn the unexplainable shift of Frank Rich, once known as the “Butcher of Broadway,” to the New York Times‘s opinionatin’ pages). Well, I wasn’t disappointed! Here are some greasy, tasty excerpts from Stevens’s review:

As you sit through the film’s 88 eternal minutes, you have to keep reminding yourself that Redford has been directing films, some of them pretty good, for nearly 30 years now. Yet Lions for Lambs appears to have been created by someone who’s never seen one of these newfangled contraptions called “movies,” or for that matter, witnessed that phenomenon known as “speech.”…

The net effect for the viewer is that of being trapped in an airless room, then escaping it to find yourself in another, and yet another….

Redford keeps cutting away to clocks as the professor’s office hour, the senator’s interview, and the soldiers’ hour of peril chug toward their respective ends. The unintended consequence is that you find yourself trying to match the real-time proceedings onscreen with the real time ticking away on your watch, and counting the seconds till you can go home.

Pass the mint jelly!

Cross-posted on Right Wing News.

Posted in Ars Longa, Politics and Poker | 4 Comments »

Edwards reaffirms key political question

Posted by Ron Coleman on November 8, 2007

I took some heat for saying this about John Edwards:

John Edwards — whom, I will admit, I never liked politically, though of course our sympathy must go out to him and his family on a personal level — is one of two things:Either merely an inveterate liar, or a complete moral retard. Democrats are certainly used to having one or the other of those as their candidate, but chances are there’s at least one better one in this year’s field.

Well, if you don’t mind my saying so, this is becoming more conventional wisdom (via Kaus):

I actually think [John Edwards’s new commercial is] one of the most sleazy, manipulative little political commercials of recent years. . .

“And Elizabeth and I decided in the quiet of a hospital room.” Subtle. “After 12 hours of tests and after getting very bad news.” Even subtler. His wife has cancer. “We’re not going to quietly go away. Instead we’re going to go out there and fight for what it is we believe.”

You know, Mitt Romney’s wife has multiple sclerosis. Obviously that’s not going to shorten her life the way Elizabeth Edwards’ cancer will shorten hers. But it’s the kind of thing that could stir up sympathy and handkerchief-clutching out there in Iowa and New Hampshire, and the Romneys only ever talk about it when asked. There’s no TV ad pimping her illness. If Romney has no emotions, than Edwards has only the basest ones. There’s not enough Lysol on the eastern seaboard to scrub his slime away.

The whole article by Dave Weigel is pretty good. He analyzes ego-driven campaigns, which is most of them, each with its own particular egotistical message. But who seriously gets to be a serious candidate for president and has anything like a normal ego?

Posted in O Mores!, Politics and Poker | 4 Comments »

Interesting possibilities

Posted by Ron Coleman on November 7, 2007

freakingnewscom-chimera.jpgInstapundit quotes Senator former President Hillary Clinton: “The federal government should be making immigration policy and that’s what I’m going to try to do as president again.”

Hmm. Well, then, now that we’re being all out front about this, is it time to deploy the 22nd Amendment?

Posted in Jocularity, Politics and Poker | 6 Comments »

Ageless

Posted by Ron Coleman on November 6, 2007

Okay, I bust Chris’s chops sometimes — well, this one is funny!

Posted in Jocularity, O Mores!, Politics and Poker | 3 Comments »

Fred: No thanks, I’m not that hungry

Posted by Ron Coleman on November 6, 2007

This story in the Telegraph is damning.  Whether or not the facts are accurately reported, it’s another pebble in the growing avalanche of perception — fueled by his dithering before entering the race — that Fred Thompson doesn’t really want to be President all that badly.

That’s not a bad reflection on him.  The problem with most of these clowns is that they do want it that badly.  Fred is, from what I can tell, a mensch who sometimes does politics.  That means he’s someone I can actually like and respect.

But it is a poor omen for his campaign.

Posted in Politics and Poker | 9 Comments »

President Paul, call your office

Posted by Ron Coleman on November 6, 2007

Two juxtaposed items on Instapundit (this blog is, after all, part of Glenn Reynolds’s comments section) — unintentionally, it seems:

You’re with me, right? What does Republican President Ron Paul do?

Posted in Politics and Poker, Stragety | 16 Comments »