Likelihood of Success

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Archive for the ‘Sisyphus’ Category

Bad day in human resources

Posted by Ron Coleman on July 31, 2007

This is not a good way to handle labor negotiations:

The owner of a car dealership killed two employees because they kept asking for pay raises, police said Tuesday.Milinavicius, who was having financial problems, told police he shot the two Thursday after they kept asking for more pay, said police in East Point, which is just outside Atlanta.

Milina-“vicious” is right.  Well, that’s one way to “send a message” to the rest of the staff.   I was going to say that he’ll make an easy transition from providing cars to providing license plates, but Georgia actually has a death penalty.  We will see what “message” that commonwealth sends.

Posted in Sisyphus | Leave a Comment »

The law won’t protect you

Posted by Ron Coleman on July 27, 2007

kojak2.jpgThe worst case scenario came true in Cheshire, Connecticut, a suburb of 29,000 people near Waterbury. A home invasion — the whole thing. I won’t repeat the details, but they’re as bad as any TV cop show writer could come up with.

The criminals, who had long (though non-violent) records, were out on parol. The law failed this family.

And how does a family protect itself? Was this family too stupid to call the police? Obviously not. There are some circumstances where the police can’t help. A home invasion is frequently one of them. How are intelligent people in a wealthy Connecticut suburb reacting? The way Mike Bloomberg would like them to — by reacting to a failure of the criminal justice system by investing more of their well being and peace of mind in that system? No:

The owner of a local gun store said more people are also signing up for gun-safety classes so they can buy firearms.

The law can’t always protect us. Sometimes it barely even tries. It’s a dangerous world, God help us; and surely we must help ourselves.

 

UPDATE: Disturbing thoughts on disturbing reactions to another disturbing crime (via Glenn).

Posted in Americana, Sisyphus | Leave a Comment »

Computer perfectly simulates life

Posted by Ron Coleman on July 19, 2007

checkers-speech.jpg

In the long run, you can’t win:

Developed by computer scientists at the University of Alberta in Canada, Chinook vanquished human competitors at tournaments more than a decade ago. Now, in an article published today on the Web site of the journal Science, the scientists report that they have rigorously proved that Chinook, in a slightly improved version, cannot ever lose. An opponent, no matter how skilled, practiced or determined, can at best achieve a draw.

In essence, that reduces checkers to the level of tic-tac-toe, where the ideal game-playing strategy has been codified into a series of immutable rules. But checkers — or draughts as it is known in Great Britain — is much more complex, with 500 billion billion theoretically possible board positions; it is the most complex game that has been solved to date.  …

Even with the advances in computers over the past two decades, it is still impossible, in practical terms, to compute moves for all 500 billion billion board positions. Instead, the researchers took the usual starting position and then looked only at the positions that would occur during the normal course of play.

“It’s a computational proof,” Dr. Schaeffer said. “It’s certainly not a formal mathematical proof.”

Hit your head against the wall here.

Posted in Nuvo-Techno, Sisyphus | Leave a Comment »

Waiting for Mr. No-Bar

Posted by Ron Coleman on July 2, 2007

I saw a great comment on a TigerHawk thread about an absurd Associated Press story. Forget about all that — it came via Glenn, of course, where I learn everything — and focus on this point (emphasis added):

Rising incomes and security for women allows them to pursue the highest status men possible. Think the [characters] of Sex and the City. They will generally delay children and marriage until the highest status guy comes around. Which for most of them it won’t.What HAS changed since 1990 likely is more and more emphasis on status, particularly in the marriage market. A quick look at women’s TV, particularly Lifetime, the View, Oprah, etc. along with the magazines can show how much status and status alone seems to dominate women’s preferences. This status emphasis is likely the twin result of consumerism/materialism which tends to increase status competition in a mass-market society, often one atomized, and increased wealth which allows women to trade along status preferences for other things.

Excellent point, but there could be more to it. It’s clear that women who marry and have children early inevitably undermine their economic viability by doing so. They are dependent on the success of their husbands and, as is well known, on his continued interest (often mandated by law) in contributing to their economic success, and that of their offspring.

Now, women who seek to avoid this by developing their value in the job world during those key decades from college graduation through the early 40’s would, you would think, have much less of a problem in this department; but you’d be wrong, because (a) they’re used to a high level of disposable income, and (b) at this point of their lives, they can’t fathom coupling with someone lower on the socioeconomic totem pole, as they may have been in their younger and idealistic days. (Think of Rebecca and Larry the Plumber from Cheers.)

Ironically, by keeping their options open, they’re narrowing them — and, as the anonymous commenter at TigerHawk points out, probably for good.

Posted in Sisyphus | 2 Comments »

Looks like I have something in common with Jihadis!

Posted by Ron Coleman on July 2, 2007

Mobile phone calls failed to trigger London blasts: report

We both, by all indications, use T-Mobile!

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Scaredy cats

Posted by Ron Coleman on June 25, 2007

Emily Yoffe writes, in a piece referred to by Glenn Reynolds:

It was a mild January evening, and people had filled the restaurant’s outdoor patio. As our group walked past the tables, one of my friends said, “This terrifies me.” I don’t know if she was reassured later by the chilly April, but we are all supposed to be terrified of the weather now.

Rather than weigh in, again, on the topic of fear-mongering among climate changers, I wanted to make a point about “terrified.”

I notice that people on the left are always terrified of something or an0ther.  They even teach their children to be terrified — I remember when the polls were telling us, 25 years ago, that Ronald Reagan was making all the chillun go to sleep ascared because he wouldn’t agree to a nuclear freeze.

We’re always hearing how terrified they are of this, that and the other thhing.  They’re terrified of censorship, they write in major circulation magazines, newspapers and blogs.  They’re terrified the infringement of this right, the loss of that one — almost all things that never come to pass, and which, in the rare cases that they, do, are hardly anything to be afraid of at all.

For a grown up.

Posted in Sisyphus | 4 Comments »

Inflammatory move

Posted by Ron Coleman on June 21, 2007

It’s just a bad approach, regardless of your ultimate strategy, to include dousing yourself with gasoline.  You just never know what could go wrong, you know?

Posted in Americana, Sisyphus | Leave a Comment »

The Honorable Bill Mathesius simply doesn’t give a hoot

Posted by Ron Coleman on June 11, 2007

And thus he self-destructs his judicial career in style. Judge Bill Mathesius, who was Mercer County, New Jersey’s king for what I thought was life when I was spending the second half of my childhood there, is flaming out big time on the New Jersey state bench. You just don’t see a judge write stuff like this:

I authored the opinion – “opinion” being what I thought the operative word – known as State v. Harris in October, 2002 where I was indiscreet enough to question our State’s and court’s muddling of the death penalty. I indecorously took note of the court energy and millions of taxpayer dollars which are wasted on a dysfunctional morass. Don’t try to look my opinion up because it has been deemed “wholly devoid of any function in the judicial discourse of our death penalty jurisprudence” [4] by Justice LaVecchia, the author of her very own State v. Harris “opinion.” She also allowed “[t]he balance of the court’s statements contain what only can be described as outrageous [5], sarcastic [6], and pejorative [7] comments about this State’s death penalty system and this Court’s capital jurisprudence [8], including gratuitous personal attacks against current and former members of the Court.” [9] Consequently, she proclaimed, “such statements deserve no place in the published decisions of this State.” [10][11] The Justice’s caustic and anti-intellectual comments belie the fact that with her own 100-plus additional pages of deathless prose, she affirmed my conclusions regarding the substantive issues of Harris.

[12]Notwithstanding, with Harris, I painted the bull’s-eye on my own back – no one else to blame.

I failed to sufficiently take into account that there are those justices and judges whom, as the result of little more than political happenstance, become inured to a daily showering of reverence such that it mutates into an entitlement. In judiciary circles, independent thought which deviates from the ex cathedra from above is unwelcome. [13]

By the Justice’s decree, I became then, and as far as I know, the only judge in the United States who has had a written opinion stricken (imperiously, in my view) from the “judicial discourse,” [14] such as it is. [15] For a court – never mind the Supreme Court of New Jersey – to so indulge was, at the very least, a violation of democratic etiquette, if not a rather disingenuous expedition into censorship [16], seemingly antithetical to any notion of the First Amendment [17] of the Constitution of the United States of America [18]. This is, by the way, the very same Court that regularly (and proudly) expands Constitutional rights or discovers new ones lying here and about [19].

So it goes.

And so I was brought up on charges by the Advisory Committee on Judicial Conduct (ACJC) [20], a judicial swat team of scolds led, interestingly enough by former Justice Alan Handler [21], mostly alleging my bringing of the “judicial office into disrepute.” [22][23] Moi?? Say it isn’t so.

Ouch. And, lastly, she determined that my statements “reveal a disdain for defendant.” Disrepute?

He actually has a valid point in there, but he’s a very bad writer, and that does not help. Via Above the Law (to whom I myself sent the original item a while ago).

Posted in Lex scripta, Sisyphus | 4 Comments »

The Big Lie

Posted by Ron Coleman on June 8, 2007

We card


I spend too much time in convenience stores buying drinks and snacks. But it gives me lots of opportunity to survey the two main activities that take place there.

The first is people with evidently — from the looks of them — limited disposal income buying lottery tickets, all too knowledgeably. Economists and other wags call lotteries a “tax on the stupid,” for good reason.

The second is the sale of cigarettes, at least half of which are sold to minors. I have never seen anyone asked for identification in one of these stores, which obviously make a large part of their money on illegal, open and notorious, cigarette sales to people who you can tell are underage from across the street. I’ve never seen anyone busted for selling cigarettes to kids, either. Yet these stores are festooned with “We Card” and similar warning signs.

The best one of all is the decal next to the cash register that tells you what your birthday has to be in order to buy cigs. Can you imagine someone not knowing whether he qualifies as 19 or not? The purpose of the decal, of course, is to coach kids as to how to lie to buy tobacco illegally.

Cynicism? Not a little. Does this breed a heightened disrespect, not to say contempt, for the law among a class that, by virtue of its choice to become a smoker, has already demonstrated an unhealthy disregard not only for convention but for common sense and an instinct for self-preservation? Hard not to say so.

Posted in Lex scripta, O Mores!, Sisyphus | 6 Comments »

Memorial Day

Posted by Ron Coleman on May 27, 2007

The greatest ever Memorial Day words were uttered not on the eve of summer, but in November:

Four score and seven years ago our fathers brought forth on this continent, a new nation, conceived in Liberty, and dedicated to the proposition that all men are created equal.

Now we are engaged in a great civil war, testing whether that nation, or any nation so conceived and so dedicated, can long endure. We are met on a great battle-field of that war. We have come to dedicate a portion of that field, as a final resting place for those who here gave their lives that that nation might live. It is altogether fitting and proper that we should do this.

But, in a larger sense, we can not dedicate — we can not consecrate — we can not hallow — this ground. The brave men, living and dead, who struggled here, have consecrated it, far above our poor power to add or detract. The world will little note, nor long remember what we say here, but it can never forget what they did here. It is for us the living, rather, to be dedicated here to the unfinished work which they who fought here have thus far so nobly advanced. It is rather for us to be here dedicated to the great task remaining before us — that from these honored dead we take increased devotion to that cause for which they gave the last full measure of devotion — that we here highly resolve that these dead shall not have died in vain — that this nation, under God, shall have a new birth of freedom — and that government of the people, by the people, for the people, shall not perish from the earth.

Posted in Americana, Politics and Poker, Sisyphus | 1 Comment »