Likelihood of Success

Ron Coleman’s pretty good blog

Likelihood of Success, Year Two.

Posted by Ron Coleman on March 1, 2008

I started this blog a year ago. What does it all mean?

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I don’t think it’s made me any money, or any powerful new enemies, either. What the hell. Let’s keep at it!

Posted in Blogophilia | Leave a Comment »

Not all chairs are green

Posted by Ron Coleman on February 29, 2008

Instapundit:

DISCRIMINATION IS TERRIBLE, unless there’s money in it: “Cal Poly wants to open a male-only engineering program at a university in Saudi Arabia.” Would they have opened a whites-only engineering school in the old South Africa?

Are non-coed schools really the same thing as racially segregated schools?  Of course not.  They aren’t even against the law in this country; and Saudi Arabia is a different country with a different culture.

I attended male-only rabbinical schools, and my children are all in male-only schools.  Our religious beliefs dictate this.  And we’re Americans. It’s not a civil rights issue.  Why would a libertarian like Glenn Reynolds object to people making the choice of attending single-sex schools?  Is the fact that a school is a “state school” — whatever that might mean in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia — really what makes a difference?

Many non-religious people, notably females, choose to go to schools were interaction between the sexes is not a feature and they can focus on getting educated, not getting something else.

It’s an example of cultural arrogance to assume that Saudi Arabia should be America.  It’s something beyond that to apply a standard of “non-discrimination” that isn’t even applicable in this country.

Posted in Faith and Works, Oppression, Orient | 13 Comments »

A moment of silence for the passing of the great one

Posted by Ron Coleman on February 27, 2008

William F. Buckley Jr. dies at 82 – Yahoo! News

Author and conservative commentator William F. Buckley Jr. has died at age 82.

His assistant Linda Bridges says Buckley died Wednesday morning at his home in Stamford, Conn. She says he had been ill with emphysema and was found dead by his cook.

UPDATE: At least start at National Review for this coverage. Interesting to think about how this “conservative moment” will affect McCain.

UPDATE:  This is very good, too!

Posted in Americana, Heart and spirit, Politics and Poker | 1 Comment »

PATH to glory

Posted by Ron Coleman on February 26, 2008

Dawn Eden links to a cool article about the PATH train — the economically-priced shuttle that runs from points in northern New Jersey under the Hudson on what seems to be rails laid down by John Henry himself, right up to southwest Midtown Manhattan.

I can’t use the PATH though, because Hoboken and the other Jersey points where you can get it are still way east from where I live, and there’s nowhere to put my car if I drive there.

Also it’s dirty.

And slow. And at night it’s full of drunk yuppies.

I hate the PATH.

Posted in Metropolis | 2 Comments »

Frankly…

Posted by Ron Coleman on February 26, 2008

Dave Price:

All in all, while I probably won’t vote for him, I’d feel pretty good about President Barack Hussein Obama (and I think much of the world will celebrate an American President with that middle name), assuming he moderates a bit after winning the nomination.

I feel better about the candidates for this election than any other in memory. McCain is a genuine war hero who has demonstrated considerable perspicacity on Iraq, while Obama is giving indications that he will happily throw special interests like the teacher’s unions under the bus if it helps the country and he can get something in return. I’d say we’re pretty fortunate this time around.

If by “feel good” Dave means, “I would feel like this is a person I could respect, as an individual,” I actually would tend to agree with this. Am I going to get de-linked by bunches of right wing blogs now? I am just saying I always thought a Hillary Clinton presidency would feel like a bleeding ulcer. I don’t feel that way about Obama, who’s still too damned liberal and, yes, too damned inexperienced; but his inexperience I would take over her… experience.

And my experience of her experience.

Posted in Politics and Poker | 2 Comments »

Hopeless!

Posted by Ron Coleman on February 26, 2008

Jonathan Rogers links to a story that pretty much puts the lie to diet soda.

Posted in Homo sapiens, Scientificus | Leave a Comment »

Folly the money!

Posted by Ron Coleman on February 26, 2008

times-building.jpgCraig Karpel:

Sources at the New York Times have told me that “the masthead”—the paper’s top 13 editors, from assistant managing editor on up—has been under relentless pressure from publisher Arthur Ochs Sulzberger Jr. to come up with stories that will themselves make news. In Sulzberger’s view, the only instance in which the Times has shot and scored during the tenure of the paper’s executive editor, Bill Keller, who was appointed in mid-2003, was its coverage of warrantless surveillance of phone calls to and from the U.S., for which James Risen and Eric Lichtblau received the 2006 Pulitzer Prize.

So it’s not a coincidence that the McCain-Iseman story was published the same day—February 21—as The New York Times Company submitted to the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) the preliminary proxy statement for this year’s annual meeting.

Wow. High cynicism! Hardly unexpected from Craig. Hardly inappropriate when considering the subject.

Posted in Gelt, Medialites, Politics and Poker | Leave a Comment »

You are only coming through in waves

Posted by Ron Coleman on February 26, 2008

Bryant Park at nightWaves of everything are washing over me these days! This is one of the most intense moments of my life. And if you had asked me a month ago what would contribute to my saying such a thing, I would probably put my blog-related activities quite near the top of the list. Oddly enough, although I am trying to post often enough to keep the blog honest, it’s been hard, and the compulsion has not been great.

My other blog, of course, which is of some commercial urgency to me, I have with God’s help managed to keep fresh and creative. It helps that there’s always some kind of intellectual property news breaking off which I can riff. But the broad gauge of Likelihood of Success makes it hard to focus on it. Ironically, though, it is precisely because of that likelihood, please God, that its virtual namesake is experiencing the neglect.

True, here there’s less pressure for “Fresh” and “Creative.” And more liberty for both. The only reason I can write now is that something’s wrong with my real computer, so I am using this other computer at this other desk in my rather odd office which itself now makes a lot more sense than it did a short time ago.

I told you last week about the medical adventures. That makes everything crazier for me, the non-patient (I didn’t say impatient! There’s medicine for that) of course; for two adults supervising youngish children, three healthy feet is not enough. Unfortunately, there are more; another close family member is now going through a bit of a scare that is not yet resolved in terms of how scary, and expecting at least emotional support and engagement. Intense, yes.

But professionally and personally, I don’t know, it’s like everything’s falling on my head at the same time — in a good way, in this case, though I am puzzled by the juxtaposition of health problems in two people who are very close to me. Perhaps, on my account, it is in order to provide me with the opportunity to do certain kinds of kindness, which do not always come naturally to me; but of course other people do not get hurt in order to provide me with spiritual opportunities.

Besides this, though, about a year ago, it was almost exactly the opposite in the strictly personal and professional spheres. That is when I went to Israel for advice, blessings, perspective. Let’s keep the really personal out of it, as a matter of Internet hygiene. Professionally, I am swamped, really with as much work as I can handle; I brought on some help and the help is both executing brilliantly and generating more work! How does that happen?

Even opportunities to open doors, a crack here, a half-a-jamb there, for other people have met with sparkling success.

And the work — it is almost entirely work I want to do which, we have learned the hard way, is the only kind of work this particular cowboy will do well. This is a great blessing. Making a living has been the bugaboo of so much of my life until now — never quite hitting the mark professionally despite mostly looking great in the process. I don’t want to bring on any more evil eyes, you know, but hey, only my friends read Likelihood of Success. It’s just a lot better. And despite everything I’m able to focus on it; this, another change, thanks in part to a friend’s suggestion as to my mental approach that has itself been transformative.

All kinds of waves are crashing on my shore. Not all of them get to be written about. The black-and-white and the passionately-hued, the inspiring and the inspired, the cold, the warm and the melting — is so obviously Providential to me right now. The choices, gambles; directions, connections; departures, arrivals… a panoply of moments, a complex matrix of vivid life is just unfolding within and without.

So who has time for blogging! 😉

Posted in Heart and spirit | 5 Comments »

In front of Phoenix federal courthouse

Posted by Ron Coleman on February 25, 2008

in front of Phoenix federal courthouse



Not a lot of blogging. I spent the day on one case, and the evening on the case I was in Phoenix for when I took this picture last spring. Just so you know.

Yeah, yeah, the beard’s gone. It was a phase and stuff.

Posted in Uncategorized | 4 Comments »

Wascally wadicals

Posted by Ron Coleman on February 24, 2008

20080211obamachehouston.jpgFrank J. (his link but slid down):

[T]his seems about right for Obama: He’s too squishy to advocate violence, but he’s a dumb enough lefty to think its cool to hang out with those who do.

So where does hanging out with ’60s terrorists fall: Is it hope or change?

Actually, Frank, dumb is for sure not the word. Yet have you noticed how just … I don’t even have the word for it (so keep refreshing)?! … Obama is?! (Hat tip to Andrew Cory!)

Posted in Politics and Poker | 5 Comments »