Likelihood of Success

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Archive for the ‘Nuvo-Techno’ Category

No takers

Posted by Ron Coleman on February 20, 2009

Popehat on the F-15‘s hoary origins:f15_15

Our air supremacy is built on the same tech level of the 8-track tape, and succeeds because no one will fly against it.

Not only won’t they fly against it — Saddam hid his MIG’s under the sand just at the thought of tangling with the F-15.

Worth remembering.

UPDATE:

Я не читаю, или я говорю на русском языке. Таким образом я удаляю все российские комментарии как спам. Это не является личным, но если Вы комментируете на русском языке, предположения, здесь – против Вас: Если Вы можете прочитать быстро через мой blog, Вы можете прокомментировать на английском языке!

Posted in Nuvo-Techno, Packing heat | 11 Comments »

Waiting for the end of the world

Posted by Ron Coleman on February 12, 2009

duerer-apocalypseA blog called Zero Hedge says “the world almost came to an end” last September — and we’re hearing about it just now:

LiveLeak has caught a scary moment of previously undisclosed insight by Paul Kanjorski where he reveals some facts that have not been captured by the media previously. At 2 minutes and 20 seconds in the video below, Democratic Representative Kanjorski explains how the Federal Reserve told Congress members about a “tremendous draw-down of money market accounts in the United States, to the tune of $550 billion dollars.” According to Kanjorski, this electronic transfer occurred over the period of an hour or two. And it gets worse. Kanjorski paraphrases the following disclosure by Bernanke and Paulson:

On Thursday (Sept 18), at 11am the Federal Reserve noticed a tremendous draw-down of money market accounts in the U.S., to the tune of $550 billion was being drawn out in the matter of an hour or two. The Treasury opened up its window to help and pumped a $105 billion in the system and quickly realized that they could not stem the tide. We were having an electronic run on the banks. They decided to close the operation, close down the money accounts and announce a guarantee of $250,000 per account so there wouldn’t be further panic out there.

Urk.  Well, I guess that did work, after all.  But all in all, it’s surprising that The End didn’t really come then, or around then, or before now, at least not in the form of a run on financial institutions, for the simple reason that a who-o-o-o-o-ole bunch of money that used to be there no longer was, or shortly would no longer… be.  As in “no longer be.” Concludes blogger Tyler Durden:

Interestingly, Kanjorski, and likely more and more Democrats, are starting to shift to the camp that more time is needed to make a correct decision this time (which may explain Geithner’s decision to postpone the “bank-rescue” announcement by one day to Tuesday), instead of rushing into another half-baked plan. Very scary stuff.

Too much leverage, folks — in a lot of ways.  Hat tip to stock market maven Jerry Coleman, my dad.

Posted in Gelt, Nuvo-Techno, Stragety | Leave a Comment »

Pipl are strange

Posted by Ron Coleman on February 3, 2009

How badly can you execute what seems like a good idea?

Very badly, of course!  So badly that it makes you wonder just how good an idea it could even have been.  Just as Pipl.com, “the most comprehensive people search on the Web,” which offers “five facts” about “piple” which it “summarizes” from the Web.

Here are its five facts about me. Hey, only three of them are wrong!  And the two of them that are not literally wrong are, in fact, correct descriptions of the past.  No useful information about the present of me is included.

Well, heck. I’m a hard guy to accurately find out about on the Internet, so you’d have to write one heck of an algorithm to, say, check for the chronology on websites you scrape for data about “pipl” — much less address the fact that some names are fairly common.  Mine is one of them:

HowManyOfMe.com
Logo There are
1,056
people with my name in the U.S.A.

How many have your name?

Frankly, this “Pipl” should be popped. “Comprehensive” doesn’t mean “worse than useless.”  And Pipl.com seems to be just that.

Posted in Nuvo-Techno, Sisyphus, Social networking | 1 Comment »

Disappeared

Posted by Ron Coleman on January 25, 2009

Scobleizer:

I refuse to use Facebook to conduct business and don’t upload many videos or photos there because I don’t support companies that “erase” MY data without my permission. I know of no other social network that does this in this way.

Of course, Facebook believes it can get away with it because, at this point, it is pretty much the gold standard in social networking.  But I had something a little bit like what Robert Scoble describes here — a kind of deactivation due to basically too much legitimate social networking — happen to me too when I was an active account holder.  I was locked down without explanation; I got mainly boilerplate responses to my inquiries; a bit of panic set in — I had uploaded a lot of stuff.

In my case it came and went in an hour or two.  But it was odd.  Even more odd, though, is that I was not deactivated the way he describes.  In fact, what happened to me sounds almost exactly like what he describes here as what he believes, and quite logically, would be a much better policy:

If I were in charge at Facebook I would have a “jail.” If you broke the rules I’d move your account into “jail.” Everyone would be able to get to it, although you might have an icon that indicates the account has been thrown into jail. I would also turn off certain features on the account. I would just turn off messaging, for instance, if that person was abusing messaging. Or, turn off his/her ability to write on wall posts if he’s abusing privileges there.

I’m pretty sure I was, in fact, in jail.  But in all seriousness, I can’t fathom how this could have been the case if a plugged in guy like Scoble doesn’t think it can.

Then there was the odd message I got that one time about being an “alpha account” or something and was therefore being allowed to have a video response to video message I had sent show on my wall?  I wish I’d screen-shotted that one.  No one has ever been able to tell me what that was.

Facebook and other social media are, like Google, becoming de facto jurisdictions unto themselves, which libertarians should like — and on issues such as this, I am one.  But it can be a weird new world out there.

Posted in Nuvo-Techno, Social networking | 1 Comment »

What I’m doing, and what I’m not

Posted by Ron Coleman on January 2, 2009

Last week I laughingly linked to this post from last year wherein I asked myself, what on earth would I want to do with Twitter?  I had ignored Dean Esmay‘s invitation to join Twitter, though a little later a mutual friend convinced me to give it a try.  As I explain in this post from yesterday, I didn’t even really do anything with it until about six weeks ago, when I finally forced the issue on that friend’s urging as a way to increase traffic here.

I got the hang of it (update:  linked to old profile, now deleted, showing massive teeming following — RDC).

In almost no time I had attracted over 500  “followers.”  And, counting for “quality,” I now have at the time of this writing a score on Twitter Grader — one of several metrics, mind you, not of all of which would show as high a score — of 98.8 out of 100.  By their scale, as of this minute I am was ranked 8,965 in the galaxy out of over 850,000 users.  And that’s with being resolutely refused mutuality of followship by James Lileks.

With this, together with my mega-special Facebook page, I revealed myself to be, with my natural glibness, broad education and technological facility — yes, and of course that famous characteristic modesty —  a true social networking genius.  And blog traffic, as well as links and mutual blogroll relationships, did increase.  I even got a couple of direct inquiries for legal services!

Today I deactivated my Facebook account.

And I’m doing the same with Twitter.  Now, because Twitter is a little more personal and dynamic, I am going to take a couple of days before unplugging that… say some goodbyes to all that, at least goodbye to tweeting.  We can read each other in the funny papers.

But this has taken over my life.  The fact is, I’m too good at social networking for my own good.  If eating all the candy you want means that you eat candy three meals a day, you have to be someone who doesn’t eat candy at all, no matter how much energy it gives you.

I have real things to do, and not nearly as much time to talk about doing them as I’m spending.  And I don’t necessarily have any good reason for talking about those things, and other things, too, with some of the people with whom I’ve been talking.

I have a couple of good blogs, guest slots and privileges on some others, a lot of great clients, fine partners, countless friends, and priceless family members to live with.  Not virtually, really.

That’s what I’m doing.

UPDATE:  I reestablished my Twitter account as a place holder immediately after “quitting” Twitter, and merely used it as a feed for blog posts.  I hardly expected anyone to follow me there, though a few have.  I am only slowly beginning to, sparingly, utter any personal tweets, and I have structured my social cloud so as not become the sort of “social scene” it had for me last winter. It’s now social, but in the business social sense.

I also reopened my Facebook account but use it in a far more focused than I was doing last year.  It’s something that exists in my life now — as opposed to being my life!

Posted in Blogophilia, Futurama, Heart and spirit, Narcissus Rex, Nuvo-Techno, Social networking | 11 Comments »

Flat-footed spam comment of the day

Posted by Ron Coleman on December 16, 2008

You have to love it:

A new comment on the post #848 “Likelihood of Success” is waiting for your approval
http://www.likelihoodofconfusion.com/?p=848

Author : Backlink Tool (IP: 70.23.65.94 , pool-70-23-65-94.ny325.east.verizon.net)
E-mail : xxx@yahoo.com
URL    : http://xxx.com/
Whois  : http://ws.arin.net/cgi-bin/whois.pl?queryinput=70.23.65.94
Comment:
Nice articles here. Should put more articles about white teeth and teeth whitening methods.

Posted in Blogophilia, Nuvo-Techno, Sisyphus | 4 Comments »

The enemy of my friend is… hmmm

Posted by Ron Coleman on December 7, 2008

Instapundit links to a chilling report that’s sure to set off even more confusion in left-wing faculty lounges than it is with hormones across the animal kingdom:

IT’S NOT JUST YOUR IMAGINATION: “The research – to be detailed tomorrow in the most

The importance of being organic

The importance of being organic

comprehensive report yet published – shows that a host of common chemicals is feminising males of every class of vertebrate animals, from fish to mammals, including people.”

The whole article is pretty stunning if the link between the chemicals and the emasculation phenomenon holds up.

Here’s the question, now:   How does a classical wacko lefty — not our normal liberal friends, okay, but the kinds of people who do street theater, comment on Daily Kos and that sort of thing — deal with the policy choices here?   Petrochemical and industrial chemical concerns?  Environmental effects of modern industry?  Threats to species?  All bad.

Men and the things that make them men?  Uh, also bad, and now, clearly, seen to be worse than ever!   Unfortunately, it seems unlikely that the male of our species will disappear fast enough by this process to prevent damage to other ones by virtue of all that maleness that just can’t disappear fast enough.

Decisions, decisions.

Posted in Nuvo-Techno, Sisyphus | 5 Comments »

Tell us another!

Posted by Ron Coleman on December 2, 2008

Instapundit :

A TERRORISM SURVIVAL BUNDLE for Windows Mobile.

Gah!  Someone contemplating “survival” would rely on Windows?!

Posted in Nuvo-Techno, Sisyphus | Leave a Comment »

Wi-Fi in the clouds

Posted by Ron Coleman on November 23, 2008

Wi-Fi  is finally working its way into airplanes… slowly, though.

What on earth is taking so long?  Can we trade in the four peanuts and the free issue of Skymall in order to get this going?

Posted in Nuvo-Techno | 2 Comments »

Trails of tears

Posted by Ron Coleman on November 17, 2008

Kaus sums it all up:

Vodkapundit makes the basic point about Obama’s Blackberry. … You want the President to rely solely on information passed up the official chain through the White House gatekeepers? That way lies the Bay of Pigs!  The chain of command is a lousy way to find out bad news. Emailing around seems like a pretty good way. Is it that much harder to secure than a phone call? Aren’t Presidents trusted with the telephone? … Paranoid P.S.: You have to wonder whether on some level this isn’t an an attempt by the White House bureaucracy to control Obama. … [via Insta]

I guess I just can’t stop being a lawyer.  It is obvious to any of the wingtip-shod that the President can’t use a BlackBerry the way he uses a phone because, duh, (1) a BlackBerry leaves a textual trail, and (2) the BlackBerry isn’t only a way to receive information, it is a way to distribute it; and the process of receiving it requires a series of textual prompts — at the very least — by the putative BB-ing President BO.

Just last week, at the Media Law Resource Center dinner, the presidential historian Michael Beschloss made it very clear that he has no idea how his job will be done in the future.  Presidents today, and those around them, do not dare write contemporaneous notes, diaries, letters… these are mere fodder for politically-motivated congressional witch hunts and special prosecutors looking for something, anything, as a hook on which to hang the other side out to dry.  The only defense to this process has been executive privilege, and even that is considered bad form now.  The Democrats in Congress have made it clear there will be purges later this coming winter and are warning the White House not to rev up the shredders — and in this environment, we think the next President should generate dozens of email trails containing hundreds of messages in the process of governing?

The virtual eye?

The virtual eye?

It’s much more than this.  We have lost some perspective, it seems.  The BlackBerry is a virtual replacement for being at the center of the process.  It is a form of portable access, both incoming and outgoing, as a replacement for being face to face with the people and data with whom interaction is required.

The BlackBerry — the “CrackBerry” — in fact, is a tyranny that we impose on ourselves in an attempt to manage our piece of a world that will move along without us if we log off for long.  You might argue that this is all the more true for a Chief Executive, but it is not merely wishful thinking to suggest that this is not the manner in which the President of the United States should operate on a personal level.  It is a managerial and executive imperative that this be so.  If there is any single person on earth who absolutely should not be executing his responsibilities via the essentially reactive, and highly improvisational, mode of feverish electronic messaging, it is the President of the United States.

Posted in Nuvo-Techno, Social networking, Stragety, Style | 14 Comments »