Likelihood of Success

Ron Coleman’s pretty good blog

Trails of tears

Posted by Ron Coleman on November 17, 2008

Kaus sums it all up:

Vodkapundit makes the basic point about Obama’s Blackberry. … You want the President to rely solely on information passed up the official chain through the White House gatekeepers? That way lies the Bay of Pigs!  The chain of command is a lousy way to find out bad news. Emailing around seems like a pretty good way. Is it that much harder to secure than a phone call? Aren’t Presidents trusted with the telephone? … Paranoid P.S.: You have to wonder whether on some level this isn’t an an attempt by the White House bureaucracy to control Obama. … [via Insta]

I guess I just can’t stop being a lawyer.  It is obvious to any of the wingtip-shod that the President can’t use a BlackBerry the way he uses a phone because, duh, (1) a BlackBerry leaves a textual trail, and (2) the BlackBerry isn’t only a way to receive information, it is a way to distribute it; and the process of receiving it requires a series of textual prompts — at the very least — by the putative BB-ing President BO.

Just last week, at the Media Law Resource Center dinner, the presidential historian Michael Beschloss made it very clear that he has no idea how his job will be done in the future.  Presidents today, and those around them, do not dare write contemporaneous notes, diaries, letters… these are mere fodder for politically-motivated congressional witch hunts and special prosecutors looking for something, anything, as a hook on which to hang the other side out to dry.  The only defense to this process has been executive privilege, and even that is considered bad form now.  The Democrats in Congress have made it clear there will be purges later this coming winter and are warning the White House not to rev up the shredders — and in this environment, we think the next President should generate dozens of email trails containing hundreds of messages in the process of governing?

The virtual eye?

The virtual eye?

It’s much more than this.  We have lost some perspective, it seems.  The BlackBerry is a virtual replacement for being at the center of the process.  It is a form of portable access, both incoming and outgoing, as a replacement for being face to face with the people and data with whom interaction is required.

The BlackBerry — the “CrackBerry” — in fact, is a tyranny that we impose on ourselves in an attempt to manage our piece of a world that will move along without us if we log off for long.  You might argue that this is all the more true for a Chief Executive, but it is not merely wishful thinking to suggest that this is not the manner in which the President of the United States should operate on a personal level.  It is a managerial and executive imperative that this be so.  If there is any single person on earth who absolutely should not be executing his responsibilities via the essentially reactive, and highly improvisational, mode of feverish electronic messaging, it is the President of the United States.

Posted in Nuvo-Techno, Social networking, Stragety, Style | 14 Comments »

Martin Luther King, the Brand

Posted by Ron Coleman on November 14, 2008

Did you know that Martin Luther King is “a brand” now?

Posted in Americana, Gelt, Heart and spirit | Leave a Comment »

The Principled Hard Right: An IM chat

Posted by Ron Coleman on November 13, 2008

Rocky Blogfriend is online.
Ron
I am really having a crisis of faith
Rocky
in?
Ron
Us
I can’t believe some of the crap that’s going up on RW blogs
Rocky
Lol
You ain’t seen nothing yet my friend
Ron
I never considered Plonis DePloni a major intellectual but
she is getting absolutely scary
Rocky
the blogosphere on the left
pre-Bush, was relatively moderate — well, sort of
8 years later it was Bush is hitler and he knocked down the world trade center
Ron
OK but hell with the far left, they’re scum
We’re BETTER
Rocky
u don’t think that is going to happen to us?
Ron
It is, it is
Tin hats all around!
Rocky
Dude, Honestly, Obama reminds me of chavez or Castro
That’s what I honestly think, no bs, no hype
I already heard that a prominent conservative
whose name I won’t drop
is telling people that he thought Obama might literally try a fascist coup
Ron
Good thing you didn’t drop it
I also remember when Bill Clinton was going to take over and refuse to hand the keys to GWB
Why would someone with such political skill need a coup?!
Rocky
yeah. There is always some of that going around.
As long as we have sniper rifles in this country, there will never be a coup
this is going to inspire a post =D
Ron
I could see him getting Congress to offer up an amendment to the Constitution repealing the whatever amendment on term limits for the POTUS
Rocky, I am one PRETTY DAMNED RIGHT WING GUY
And I am just embarrassed at what is being said and written out there!
Rocky
that would take a constitutional amendment. He couldn’t pull it off…
Dude, well it is going to get much, much, worse
I am just telling you
Ron
I know.
Rocky
it’s the nature of human beings
Ron
How do guys like us get ahead of the curve without seeming as if we’re pandering?
Rocky
Heh. You just gotta take it as it comes. Depends on what obama tries to do.
Ron
No, forget that. Think INSIDE the box on that okay? Just humor me.
Pretend that politics just stinks
and we just got our behinds kicked
and that’s all there is.
Rocky
ok…
Ron
I am talking local, not global.
Sky not falling.
Rocky
got ya…
Ron
How can we establish a voice in the blogosphere — I don’t mean NRO —
for sane but not “moderate” conservatism?
we should try to find a way to enunciate this concept of, hey, wait —
There is a voice of the Principled Hard Right!
We are against socialism, statism, yes!
We are against higher taxes, yes!
We are against appeasement, yes!
But we DO believe in the Constitution!
We DO believe in loyalty to our country, regardless of the party in power!
We DO believe in being better, behaving better and thinking better than the other side!
We are interested in recapturing political power
…. democratically!
… legally!
… ethically!
Rocky
of course
Ron
By virtue of
THE POWER OF OUR IDEAS
Expressed clearly
without panic or hyperbole
But sparing no sacred cow.
I thank you.
LOL
Rocky
heh
sounds like u got a post there
Ron
Maybe I’ll just cut and paste this LOL
Well, those are my thinkings… see ya later.
Rocky
Have a good one

Posted in Blogophilia, Politics and Poker, Stragety | 3 Comments »

Dextrous bloggers’ least favorite “righty”

Posted by Ron Coleman on November 13, 2008

Ouch.

I have to admit I hadn’t expected he’d come in number one.

Posted in Blogophilia, Politics and Poker | Leave a Comment »

Eurojustice

Posted by Ron Coleman on November 13, 2008

This creep in Austria is being charged with just about every awful crime in the book.   It’s a grisly story.  But here’s what jumped out at me:

If convicted of the murder charge, Fritzl would face life imprisonment, which in Austria typically means 15 years’ confinement.  Austria, like other European countries, has no death penalty.

Which makes me wonder, what would be so terrible about the death penalty then?   If “life imprisonment” means 15 years, a sentence of death probably means a really painful hangnail.

Posted in Euroids, Lex scripta, O Mores! | 1 Comment »

Hey! Let’s try this new thing!

Posted by Ron Coleman on November 13, 2008

Doesn’t the frenzy and the cacophony surrounding meta-social-networking hint that everybody’s actually about to get really really sick of it?

Posted in Social networking | 1 Comment »

Princeton’s selective progressivism

Posted by Ron Coleman on November 12, 2008

Princeton University announced last month that Shirley M. Tilghman, the University’s president, will serve as “one of the founding trustees for King Abdullah University of Science and Technology, a new international, coeducational, graduate-level research university that is being created near Saudi Arabia’s second largest city, Jeddah.”

Isn’t that an odd choice for a high commissar in the higher education nomenklatura ?  We’re talking about the Shirley Tilghman described thus by Steven M. Warshawsky:

In Tilghman, the student radicals of the 1960s finally have succeeded in occupying the university president’s chair, not just his office.  Since becoming Princeton’s president in June 2001, Tilghman (who graduated from college in 1968) has pursued an activist feminist agenda to remake Princeton into a liberal paradise that even Kim Gandy would love.  Today, despite its long-outdated reputation as a ‘conservative’ Ivy League college (F. Scott Fitzgerald famously described Princeton as ‘the pleasantest country club in America’), Princeton is rife with political correctness, multiculturalism, and liberal groupthink.

Warshawsky, who graduated Princeton ten years later than I did, may perhaps lack the long view — the school was more or less what he described in the early ’80’s, in fact, when a fairly conservative president, economist William G. Bowen, presided over Nassau Hall.  Tilghman’s achievements are not so much in her politics, which are standard fare among college presidents, deans, administrators and the trustees who perpetuate this professional class of college royalty.  It is the manner in which she, the first non-alumnus president in the school’s recent history, has consolidated the management of everything Princeton, including the flow of information through organs once semi – independent (such as the Princeton Alumni Weekly), into the politically correct hands of the administration.  This aggregation and centralization of Princeton’s tax-exempt corporate empire is worthy of the best Soviet ministry builders… gloved in velvet, of course.

Princeton's Alexander Hall

Princeton's Alexander Hall

Still, his description is entirely correct:  As reminded on at least every third page of the Weekly, which essentially serves as a publicity vehicle for President Tilghman and features her face, her quotes or both on at least every fourth page, she is indeed entirely politically reliable, as is virtually all of her faculty.  So what could possibly make such a progressive and visionary woman agree to become a trustee for a Saudi college?  Engagement from the inside, that’s what!

“I have been very selective in taking on outside responsibilities, and I deliberated carefully before accepting this commitment,” Tilghman said. “Having devoted so much of my career to expanding educational opportunities for women, especially in the sciences and engineering, I decided that I should join with the other members of this board in encouraging the development of such opportunities in a region of the world where historically they have not been available.

“It was critically important to me that KAUST is committed to providing a Western-style education, to attracting students and faculty from around the world and from all ethnic and religious backgrounds, and to educating men and women from different religious traditions together,” she said. “In my view, these are important steps for Saudi Arabia, and as a trustee I will be carefully monitoring the university’s success in achieving these objectives.”

Well, that will be interesting.  I wonder which religious traditions are going to be allowed to drink the waters of scholarship in the deserts of Arabia at Jeddah?  As the writer of the Bedu Blog explains:

I have had queries from some readers wanting to know that since there are not cordial diplomatic relations between Saudi Arabia and Israel, whether those who practice the Jewish faith are in fact allowed into the Kingdom. I will share based on what I personally know. To begin with, when one completes a visa application to come to the Kingdom, one must designate (among other things) nationality, place of birth and religion. You may ask, why does one have to identify their religion on a visa application? This is due to the fact that only muslims are allowed into the holy cities of Makkah and Medina so as a result, ones visa (and subsequent iqama if applicable) will indicate whether one is a muslim or non-muslim.

In general, if one cites Jewish as their religion but not born in Israel or from Israel, then it is likely the visa will be granted. However the odds of a visa being denied increase if one was born in Israel. I am personally not aware of anyone who is a Jew and from Israel being granted a visa to enter the Kingdom.

Sounds fair, right?  After all, who are we to judge?  Sure, during my time on campus, we learned that the only possible strategy for dealing with the apartheid regime of South Africa was condemnation, divestment, disengagement and boycott.  But it’s different with Saudi Arabia, because.

And, the current dip in oil prices notwithstanding, I am every bit as sure that Dr. Tilghman’s view of the matter is not colored by the precipitous fall in the value of Princeton’s endowment, which the PAW describes as a “double digit drop” but this article estimates is more likely “down 25% or more since June 30 if they were to assign realistic values to their illiquid investments.”  Certainly the prospect of a gooey flow of black gold into those orange and black coffers for a change could not have anything to do with that liquidity crisis.

I suppose Saudi Arabia’s religious Jim Crow laws will not be a problem as long as the Muslim-only “holy cities of Makkah and Medina” aren’t the site of the next meeting of trustees of King Abdullah University of Science and Technology, or none of the diverse members of the student body needs, I don’t know, a book from a library there — oh, never mind.

UPDATE:  Nice point from Soccer Dad:  Remember when Yale turned down a $20 million endowment because the donor wanted it to fund study of Western Civilization? The New York Times praised Yale at the time, “No self-respecting educational institution can allow an outsider — no matter how well-meaning or generous — to dictate its education priorities.” I wonder how they feel about a prestigious college – in this case Princeton – ceding its control, not to a generous donor but to a government that seeks to stifle free inquiry? My guess is that if the Times editorializes, it will ignore the restrictions the partnership with Saudi Arabia will impose on Princeton and praise the university for being open to new ways of thinking.

Posted in Gelt, Oppression | 8 Comments »

Out of the frying pan….

Posted by Ron Coleman on November 11, 2008

They told when Obama was elected it would be bad for the Jews…. and just look, even at the heart of the vast right-wing conspiracy — can’t you see where this is going?!

Posted in Faith and Works, Jocularity | Leave a Comment »

Generals and majors

Posted by Ron Coleman on November 11, 2008

This somewhat stinging look at soldiering was first published on April 27, 2007. I added a new first sentence. — RDC

“Generals and majors, uh huh,” goes the old lefty XTC song… And in between them are colonels — in this case, Lt. Col. Paul Yingling, who has written a scathing critique of his superiors’ conduct of the Iraq war in the Armed Forces Journal, a non-governmental publication:

For the second time in a generation, the United States faces the prospect of defeat at the hands of an insurgency. In April 1975, the U.S. fled the Republic of Vietnam, abandoning our allies to their fate at the hands of North Vietnamese communists. In 2007, Iraq’s grave and deteriorating condition offers diminishing hope for an American victory and portends risk of an even wider and more destructive regional war.

These debacles are not attributable to individual failures, but rather to a crisis in an entire institution: America’s general officer corps. America’s generals have failed to prepare our armed forces for war and advise civilian authorities on the application of force to achieve the aims of policy. The argument that follows consists of three elements. First, generals have a responsibility to society to provide policymakers with a correct estimate of strategic probabilities. Second, America’s generals in Vietnam and Iraq failed to perform this responsibility. Third, remedying the crisis in American generalship requires the intervention of Congress.

“Yingling served as deputy commander of the 3rd Armored Cavalry Regiment. He has served two tours in Iraq, another in Bosnia and a fourth in Iraq’s Operation Desert Storm in 1991. He attended the Army’s elite School for Advanced Military Studies and has written for one of the Army’s top professional journals, Military Review,” according to the AP; his byline says he “is deputy commander, 3rd Armored Calvary Regiment. He has served two tours in Iraq, another in Bosnia and a fourth in Operation Desert Storm. He holds a master’s degree in political science from the University of Chicago.” He’s the real deal, in other words. It’ s a long article, and Yingling goes to great pains to prove his point, but I am hardly fit to say whether his analysis is correct or dead wrong. You simply have to know the topic to make that decision and read his analysis critically, and I don’t; neither Yingling’s rank nor his use of of military and tactical terminology tell me anything about his qualification to judge the work of the officers who command him. Interestingly, the magazine offers a forum for reader discussion, and when I wrote this, there were no comments at all — even though this article is being reported on Drudge and the Associated Press.

Democracy: Good. Free speech: Good. Honesty: Good.

Active duty military officers criticizing their superiors in print? I don’t know. If he’s right, I want to know, don’t I? But aren’t there problems with this? A year ago, a debate erupted over public commentary about the White House’s management of the war by retired generals. This seemed mostly to be a matter of a breach of custom, a lapse in discretion, though Fred Kaplan, who frequently covers the military (and always criticizes the Bush White House regardless of what it does), thought it was the beginning of something much bigger. The focus then was on public criticism among active officers of civilian policy-making or policy-makers, which according to this is actually a crime.

Now it is something different: A military man is criticizing the general officers’ corps — his uniformed bosses. It is not as bad as criticizing the Secretary of Defense or the Commander in Chief, because it does not threaten the constitutional principle of civilian leadership of the military. On the other hand, the publication of this article is arguably a serious breach of military protocol, which of course Yingling knows. It is a perfectly sensible policy that one not use the press or other vehicles outside the chain of command to circumvent that chain, whether in terms of policy or otherwise. There are exceptions in the case of the reporting of crimes — but policy disagreements?

What should be done? Read the rest of this entry »

Posted in Politics and Poker, Stragety | 14 Comments »

Home Port Staten Island

Posted by Ron Coleman on November 11, 2008

As I said in the previous (recycled) post, I’m on the road today, but I’m reposting old pieces with a Veteran’s Day theme.  This was first posted on May 23rd of this year. — RDC

Home Port Staten Island

Originally uploaded by Ron Coleman

I was early for court in Staten Island this morning, a place I don’t get to too often. I didn’t realize the courthouse was practically in the water; indeed, it is on the navy base. It’s Fleet Week, so they let people go a little bit closer than usual. Here’s a shot of the bows of three ships, including the USS Monterey, in front of the city they are protecting.

Whenever I see the arrayed armed might of this country, even a sliver of it, I am awed, and profoundly thankful to God that, in our age at least, it has been given this way.

I felt a little like a spy taking pictures at a military installation, and indeed there was a sign at the security checkpoint that says, among other warnings but in very big, compelling letters, “USE OF DEADLY FORCE AUTHORIZED.” My approach is that where use of deadly force is authorized, asking the people with the guns first is well advised. I did. Twice.

Posted in Americana, Metropolis | Leave a Comment »